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[求助]og147 or prep 56

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楼主
发表于 2012-5-27 22:49:07 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
Crops can be traded on the futures market before they are harvested. If a poor corn harvest is predicted, prices of corn futures rise; if a bountiful corn harvest is predicted, prices of corn futures fall. This morning meteorologists are predicting much-needed rain for the corn-growing region starting tomorrow. Therefore, since adequate moisture is essential for the current crop's survival, prices of corn futures will fall sharply today.


Which of the following, if true, most weakens the argument above?


(A) Corn that does not receive adequate moisture during its critical pollination stage will not produce a bountiful harvest.
(B) Futures prices for corn have been fluctuating more dramatically this season than last season.
(C) The rain that meteorologists predicted for tomorrow is expected to extend well beyond the corn-growing region.
(D) Agriculture experts announced today that a disease that has devastated some of the corn crop will spread widely before the end of the growing season.
(E) Most people who trade in corn futures rarely take physical possession of the corn they trade.

A  排除 B E , c support , A and D ,D will not lead to predict poor harvest due to can not judge the final result base on much-need rain and disease devastated

我的逻辑:
D 不能预判雨量充沛丰收的效果和病虫害的效果的综合效果是导致欠收还是丰收
而A 能够预判雨量充沛但是不在授粉期,所以结果是欠收,价格上涨,因此是weaken

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沙发
发表于 2012-5-28 09:26:39 | 只看该作者
Assumption: If there is rain providing adequate moisture, there will be a bountiful harvest.

A = refute the assumption: rain is only needed in cirtical stage of corn growth.
D = out of scope

For D to be effective, one has to establish that the anouncement of disease will cause prediction of poor harvest.
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