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Set AA consists of kk distinct numbers. If nn numbers are selected from the set one-by-one, where n≤kn≤k, what is the probability that numbers will be selected in ascending order?
(1) Set AA consists of 12 even consecutive integers.
(2) n=5
OA=B
实在不明白为什么是B以下是official explanation
We should understand the following two things:
1. The probability of selecting any nn numbers from the set is the same. Why should any subset of nn numbers have higher or lower probability of being selected than some other subset of nn numbers? Probability doesn't favor any particular subset.
2. Now, consider that the subset selected is {x1, x2, ..., xn}{x1, x2, ..., xn}, where x1<x2<...<xnx1<x2<...<xn. We can select this subset of numbers in n!n! # of ways and out of these n!n! ways only one, namely {x1, x2, ..., xn}{x1, x2, ..., xn} will be in ascending order. So 1 out of n!. P=1n!P=1n!.
Hence, according to the above, the only thing we need to know to answer the question is the size of the subset (nn) we are selecting from set AA.
Answer: B |
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