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[逻辑小分队] 每日逻辑链第三季【1-20】

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楼主
发表于 2012-3-21 22:58:28 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
1. Anders: The physical structure of the brain plays an
important role in thinking. So researchers
developing “thinking machines”—computers
that can make decisions based on both common
sense and factual knowledge—should closely
model those machines on the structure of the
brain.
Yang: Important does not mean essential. After all,
no flying machine closely modeled on birds
has worked; workable aircraft are structurally
very different from birds. So thinking machines
closely modeled on the brain are also likely to
fail. In developing a workable thinking
machine, researchers would therefore increase
their chances of success if they focus on the
brain’s function and simply ignore its physical
structure.
In evaluating Yang’s argument it would be most
helpful to know whether
(A) studies of the physical structure of birds
provided information crucial to the
development of workable aircraft
(B) researchers currently working on thinking
machines take all thinking to involve both
common sense and factual knowledge
(C) as much time has been spent trying to develop
a workable thinking machine as had been
spent in developing the first workable aircraft
(D) researchers who specialize in the structure of
the brain are among those who are trying to
develop thinking machines
(E) some flying machines that were not closely
modeled on birds failed to work
2. Scientists propose placing seismic stations on thefloor of the Pacific Ocean to warn threatened coastalcommunities on the northwestern coast of the UnitedStates of approaching tidal waves caused byearthquakes. Since forewarned communities couldtake steps to evacuate, many of the injuries anddeaths that would otherwise occur could be avoidedif the government would implement this proposal.

The answer to which of the following questionswould be most important in determining whetherimplementing the proposal would be likely to achievethe desired result?

(A) When was the last time that the coastalcommunities were threatened by an approachingtidal wave?

(B) How far below sea level would the stations belocated?

(C) Would there be enough time after receivingwarning of an approaching tidal wave for

communities to evacuate safely?
(D) How soon after a tidal wave hits land is it safefor evacuees to return to their communities?

(E) Can the stations be equipped to collect andrelay information about phenomena other thantidal waves caused by earthquakes?



3.Traverton’s city council wants to minimize the city’saverage yearly expenditures on its traffic signal lightsand so is considering replacing the incandescent bulbscurrently in use with arrays of light-emitting diodes(LEDs) as the incandescent bulbs burn out. Compared

to incandescent bulbs, LED arrays consumesignificantly less energy and cost no more topurchase. Moreover, the costs associated with theconversion of existing fixtures so as to accept LEDarrays would be minimal.

Which of the following would it be most useful toknow in determining whether switching to LED arrayswould be likely to help minimize Traverton’s yearlymaintenance costs?

(A) Whether the expected service life of LED arraysis at least as long as that of the currently usedincandescent bulbs
(B) Whether any cities have switched fromincandescent lights in their traffic signals to

lighting elements other than LED arrays

(C) Whether the company from which Travertoncurrently buys incandescent bulbs for trafficsignals also sells LED arrays

(D) Whether Traverton’s city council plans toincrease the number of traffic signal lights in

Traverton

(E) Whether the crews that currently replaceincandescent bulbs in Traverton’s traffic signalsknow how to convert the existing fixtures so asto accept LED arrays



4. A certain automaker aims to increase its market shareby deeply discounting its vehicles’ prices for the nextseveral months. The discounts will cut into profits,but because they will be heavily advertised themanufacturer hopes that they will attract buyers awayfrom rival manufacturers’ cars. In the longer term, theautomaker envisions that customers initially attractedby the discounts may become loyal customers.

In assessing the plan’s chances of achieving its aim, itwould be most useful to know which of the following?

(A) Whether the automaker’s competitors are likelyto respond by offering deep discounts on theirown products
(B) Whether the advertisements will be created bythe manufacturer’s current advertising agency

(C) Whether some of the automaker’s models will bemore deeply discounted than others

(D) Whether the automaker will be able to cut costssufficiently to maintain profit margins even whenthe discounts are in effect

(E) Whether an alternative strategy might enable theautomaker to enhance its profitability whileholding a constant or diminishing share of themarket



5. For similar cars and comparable drivers, automobileinsurance for collision damage has always cost morein Greatport than in Fairmont. Police studies, however,show that cars owned by Greatport residents are, onaverage, slightly less likely to be involved in a collisionthan cars in Fairmont. Clearly, therefore, insurancecompanies are making a greater profit on collision damageinsurance in Greatport than in Fairmont.

In evaluating the argument, it would be most useful tocompare

(A) the level of traffic congestion in Greatport withthe level of traffic congestion in Fairmont

(B) the cost of repairing collision damage inGreatport with the cost of repairing collision

damage in Fairmont
(C) the rates Greatport residents pay for otherforms of insurance with the rates paid for similarinsurance by residents of Fairmont

(D) the condition of Greatport’s roads and streetswith the condition of Fairmont’s roads andstreets

(E) the cost of collision-damage insurance inGreatport and Fairmont with that in other cities



6.The growing popularity of computer-based activitieswas widely expected to result in a decline in televisionviewing, since it had been assumed that people lacksufficient free time to maintain current televisionviewinglevels while spending increasing amounts of

free time on the computer. That assumption, however,is evidently false: In a recent mail survey concerningmedia use, a very large majority of respondentswho report increasing time spent per week usingcomputers report no change in time spent watchingtelevision.



Which of the following would it be most useful todetermine in order to evaluate the argument?

(A) Whether a large majority of the surveyrespondents reported watching television

regularly

(B) Whether the amount of time spent watchingtelevision is declining among people who reportthat they rarely or never use computers

(C) Whether the type of television programs aperson watches tends to change as the amountof time spent per week using computersincreases

(D) Whether a large majority of the computerowners in the survey reported spending

increasing amounts of time per week usingcomputers

(E) Whether the survey respondents reports of timespent using computers included time spentusing computers at work
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沙发
 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-21 23:04:30 | 只看该作者
Answer choice (A): This is the correct answer. The Variance Test proves the answer:
If the answer is “Yes, they did provide crucial information” then developers should not ignore the
physical structure of the brain because the reasoning used to make that judgment (via the flying
machine analogy) is faulty.
If the answer is “No, they did not provide crucial information” then the argument is strengthened
because the analogy suggests it would be acceptable to ignore the physical structure of the brain.
Because the varied responses produce different evaluations of the argument, this answer is correct.
Answer choice (B): The conclusion is about ignoring the physical structure of the brain, and information
about what constitutes thinking will not help evaluate the argument. Apply the Variance Test to disprove
this answer by using opposite answers of “Yes” and “No.”
Answer choice (C): The relative amount of time spent on each project is not an issue in the stimulus.
Apply the Variance Test to disprove this answer, using opposite answers of “Yes, as much time was spent”
and “No, not as much time was spent.”
Answer choice (D): The argument does not involve the background of the researchers and the projects
they work on, only what they should focus on when trying to succeed. Hence, this answer is incorrect.
Apply the Variance Test, using opposite answers of “Yes, they are among those trying to develop thinking
machines” and “No, they are not among those trying to develop thinking machines.”
Answer choice (E): The analogy in the argument is about flying machines thwate re modeled on birds. The
possibility that some flying machines failed that were not modeled on birds has no place in the argument.
Apply the Variance Test, using opposite answers of “Yes, some failed” and “No, none failed.”
板凳
发表于 2012-3-24 23:33:26 | 只看该作者
35"
P:决定功能的本质不在于物理结构
C:物理模仿人脑的计算机注定失败
A

36"
P:在海底建立海啸预警以疏散
C:避免伤亡
C

36"
PED灯消耗能源少花费也不多
CED灯能缩小每年的维护费
A

27"
P:投入大量广告
C:消费者将成为忠实顾客
D

38"
P:拥有G汽车的车主出现的碰撞事故少于F车
C:保险公司对G的花费大可获得更多利润
A
地板
发表于 2012-3-25 11:45:45 | 只看该作者
Y:important doesn't mean essential. 举了个例子
 so researcher should focus the function and ignore the structure.
D-->A

33s
P:scientists proposed to place a seismic station on the sea.
C: if the government implement the proposal, the injuries and deaths will be avoided.
推测:人们收到警报有足够的时间跑
C

44s
C: in order to minimize the cost, they want to convert bulbs to LED
P: LED consumes less energy and less money. And the conversion cost is small.
推测:LED 是否会经常坏
A

38S
C: in order to increase the market share, the company will discount.
P: they will attract the customers from the rivals and these customers will become loyal.
推测:消费者真的会为之动心么
A

31s
P:insurance costs more in G than in F
 but cars in G are less likely to collide.
C:G's insurance company makes more profit.
推测:collision in G 不会更严重 赔的更多么?
B

42s
C: 用电脑的活动增多导致看电视时间减少
P:人们缺少free time保证看电视的时间
但是,一项调查显示 大部分人在增加了用电脑的时间的情况下没有减少看电视的时间
推测:调查是否有问题
E
5#
发表于 2012-3-27 23:06:31 | 只看该作者
P:A说可以根据人脑的物理结构模拟一个thinking machine
C:Y说更应当关注人脑的功能
评价:人脑的功能对于thinking的作用有多重要
53'
A

OG上的不做了
C

也是OG上的 推测既然LED可以节约能源又可以省钱,那么LED是不是寿命也跟原来的灯泡一样
A

OG上的 竞争对手会销价吗
A

OG P:汽车保险在G比在F更贵一点,但G的汽车事故比F更少一点
C:保险公司在G赚得更多
B

OG P:使用电脑时间增加的人使用看电视时间不变
C:电脑的使用导致人们看电视时间减少的说法是错误的
人们有没有利用自己的业余时间用电脑
E
6#
发表于 2012-3-28 15:16:52 | 只看该作者
7,
背景:The physical structure of the brain plays an important role in thinking and scientists can develop “thinking machine” whose structure is close to the structure of the brain.
条件:No flying machine closely modeled on birds has worked; workable aircrafts are structurally different from birds.
结论:If researchers focus on the functions of the brain rather than the structure of the brain, they may succeed.
推测:可能workable machine如果是功能上相似,就能够成功,而且有现实例子
选A,这样就削弱了Yang的观点


8,
背景: placing seismic stations on the floor of the Pacific Ocean to warn threatened coastal communities on the northwestern coast of the US of approaching tidal waves caused by earthquakes.
条件:forewarned communities could take steps to evacuate, many of the injuries and deaths could be avoided.
结论:the government would implement this proposal
推测:是否事前通知的时间是否足够让居民逃跑
选C,是否够时间去逃跑


9,
背景:Traverton’s city council wants to minimize the city’s average yearly expenditures on its traffic signal lights and so is considering replacing the incandescent bulbs currently in use with arrays of light-emitting diodes as the incandescent bulbs burn out.
条件:LED consumes less energy and costs no more to purchase.
结论:Whether the city council switches the incandescent bulbs with the LED?
推测:那灯泡的使用寿命是否与之前的那种是否一样呢?会不会使用寿命比较短?那么更换就要更勤快
选A,寿命一样长,那么city council的确是minimize the cost


10,
背景:A certain automaker aims to increase its market share
条件:deeply discounting and heavily advertising
结论:the customers initially attracted by the discount may become loyal customers
推测:被折扣和广告吸引到的客户是否能够成为忠实顾客,要看公司是否能够长期提供折扣吧?!
选A,如果竞争对手也能提供很强大的折扣,那么就不成功了



11,
背景:automobile insurance for collision damage has always cost more in Greatport than in Fairmont.
条件:People in Greatport involved in collision are fewer than people in Fairmont.
结论:Insurance companies are making a greater profit on collision damage insurance in G than F
推测:collision涉及到的一些费用在G可能少过F,所以让insurance companies能够赚点钱
选B,维修费用collision所涉及的一部分费用,如果维修费用少,那么就能在此赚钱


12,
背景:The growing popularity of computer-based activities was widely expected to result in a decline in tv viewing
条件:increasing time using computer, but no decreasing time viewing tv
结论:people lack sufficient time to maintain current tv viewing
推测:增加的电脑使用时间是否是以前看电视的时间?也就是是否用看电视的free time来使用电脑?
选E,如果是在working的时段使用电脑,那么即使电脑使用时间增加了,也不影响看电视的free time
7#
发表于 2012-5-7 23:00:45 | 只看该作者
B:thinking machine,computer与人脑物理类似
P:模仿鸟构造的飞机都不成功
C:注重作用而非物理构造是machine成功的关键
Q:(question)人脑作用的评估
G:(guess) 在物理相似的基础上,如果功能一致则成功——> A

B: 在海底建警报系统可以将地震信息传达给US居民
P:信息传达可以使大家早做计划避免一些伤害
C:政府应该建警报
G:提前通知是否有更多时间留给居民避灾——>C

B: traffic light用白炽灯老burn out,换LED灯比较好
P:LED灯省钱节能而且转换成本低
C/Q:应该换灯否?
G:除了节能等优点,最重要的是两个灯的使用寿命,即burn out时长是否相同,若同,则LED灯好——> A

貌似之前做过,某车商通过减价和加大宣传以期提高市场占有率,使自己的忠实客户群增加而削弱对手实力。
——>A 价位低是否是消费者选择车的决定因素(推测:消费者选车是因为安全与便捷)

B:G公司比F公司的撞车险高
P:开G车的人比开F车的人撞车事故少
C:G公司的保险赚得比F公司多
G: 不一定保险能赚,因为还要扣除理赔费用——> B

B:大家以为使用电脑时间的增加会导致看电视时间的减少
P:据调查,使用电脑时间增加,但是看电视时间没变少
C:之前的认知是有错误的,使用电脑时间的增加没导致看电视时间见扫
G:是不是在free time 用电脑时间增加呢?如果在工作时间用电脑增加则不能表示free time 看电视减少
选择E
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