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问道新东方蓝皮书上的逻辑题目!

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楼主
发表于 2009-6-3 00:00:00 | 只看该作者

问道新东方蓝皮书上的逻辑题目!

A recent survey of all auto accident victims in Dole County found that, of the severely injured drivers and front-seat passengers, 80 percent were not wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents. This indicates that, by wearing seat belts, drivers and front-seat passengers can greatly reduce their risk of being severely injured if they are in an auto accident.

The conclusion above is not properly drawn unless which of the following is true?

(A) Of all the drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey, more than 20 percent were wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents.
(B) Considerably more than 20 percent of drivers and front-seat passengers in Dole County always wear seat belts when traveling by car.
(C) More drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey than rear-seat passengers were very severely injured.
(D) More than half of the drivers and front-seat passengers in the survey were not wearing seat belts at the time of their accidents.
(E) Most of the auto accidents reported to police in Dole County do not involve any serious injury.
答案是A
能解释一下问什么吗? 想半天没想明白!! 拜托大家~~
沙发
发表于 2009-6-4 23:00:00 | 只看该作者

回复:(weiwei_zhwq)问道新东方蓝皮书上的逻辑题目!...

severely injured drivers and front passengers,    belt : not belt 20%: 80%   --1

all drivers and front passengers  belt : not belt  20%+(比如30%) :70%      --2

由1,2得比较可以看出来,如果是一样的概率,那么1,2的比例应该是一样的;但是现在,belt 比not belt的受重伤的概率小。

另一方面,5各选项中,从相关性来说,只有A 是最相关的。

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