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In the last decade there has been a significant decrease in coffee consumption. During this same time, there has been increasing publicity about the adverse long-term effects on health of the caffeine in coffee. Therefore, the decrease in coffee consumption must have been caused by consumers' awareness of the harmful effects of caffeine.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the explanation above?

正确答案: E

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请教一道答案明显但错选改写后是否可以成立的OG题

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楼主
发表于 2015-9-5 19:53:38 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
OG-37, 就是那道咖啡消费减少,且同一时期公众对于咖啡因的concern有增长,那么是后者导致了前者。问削弱。

In the last decade there has been a significant decrease in coffee consumption. During this same time, there has been increasing publicity about the adverse long-term effects on health. Therefore, the decrease in coffee consumption must have been caused by consumers’ awareness of the harmful effects of caffeine.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the explanation above?

(A)    On average, people consume 30 percent less coffee today than they did 10 years age.
(B)    Heavy coffee drinkers may have mild withdrawal symptoms, such as headaches, for a day or so after significantly decreasing their coffee consumption.
(C)    Sales of specialty types of coffee have held steady as sales of regular brands have declined.
(D)    The consumption of fruit juices and caffeine-free herbal teas has increased over the past decade.
(E)    Coffee prices increased steadily in the past decade because of unusually severe frosts in coffee-growing nations.

答案是E没有问题,我的confusion在C选项,OG的解释是:

Suppose that the specialty coffees that had their sales hold steady were all caffeine-free coffees; note that nothing rules this out. If this were the case, the explanation would remain plausible.

想问一下,这个explanation would remain plausible 说的是不是原文的因果关系被加强?因为不含咖啡因的咖啡品牌销售保持,其他含的下降了。

谢谢!

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沙发
发表于 2015-9-5 20:46:09 | 只看该作者
前提(果):咖啡销量减少
结论(因):人们知道咖啡因对身体有害

果因推理找削弱:
果--->因

E是他因,肯定是削弱

C如果是高端品牌(不含咖啡因)销量不变,大众品牌(含咖啡因)销量减少的话:
则有
不含咖啡因---> 销量不变 这就是 非因---->非果 的加强
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2015-9-5 22:18:04 | 只看该作者
alzn2765 发表于 2015-9-5 20:46
前提(果):咖啡销量减少
结论(因):人们知道咖啡因对身体有害

了解!~ 验证了我理解正确,不过你的写法非常清晰。多谢!
地板
发表于 2017-1-15 16:07:20 | 只看该作者
alzn2765 发表于 2015-9-5 20:46
前提(果):咖啡销量减少
结论(因):人们知道咖啡因对身体有害

同意!               
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