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OG12 cr假设题型的42.78题不能理解

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楼主
发表于 2010-6-2 18:58:06 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
42. Crowding on Mooreville*s subway frequently leads todelays, because it is diffi cult for passengers to exitfrom the trains. Subway ridership is projected toincrease by 20 percent over the next 10 years. TheMooreville Transit Authority plans to increase thenumber of daily train trips by only 5 percent over thesame period. Offi cials predict that this increase issuffi cient to ensure that the incidence of delays dueto crowding does not increase.Which of the following, if true, provides the strongestgrounds for the offi cials* prediction?(A) By changing maintenance schedules, the TransitAuthority can achieve the 5 percent increasein train trips without purchasing any newsubway cars.(B) The Transit Authority also plans a 5 percentincrease in the number of bus trips on routesthat connect to subways.(C) For most commuters who use the subwaysystem, there is no practical alternative publictransportation available.(D) Most of the projected increase in ridership isexpected to occur in off-peak hours when trainsare now sparsely used.(E) The 5 percent increase in the number of traintrips can be achieved without an equal increasein Transit Authority operational costs.78. A recent report determined that although only 3percent of drivers on Maryland highways equippedtheir vehicles with radar detectors, 33 percent of allvehicles ticketed for exceeding the speed limit wereequipped with them. Clearly, drivers who equip theirvehicles with radar detectors are more likely to exceedthe speed limit regularly than are drivers who do not.The conclusion drawn above depends on which of thefollowing assumptions?(A) Drivers who equip their vehicles with radardetectors are less likely to be ticketed forexceeding the speed limit than are drivers whodo not.(B) Drivers who are ticketed for exceeding thespeed limit are more likely to exceed the speedlimit regularly than are drivers who are notticketed.(C) The number of vehicles that were ticketed forexceeding the speed limit was greater than thenumber of vehicles that were equipped withradar detectors.(D) Many of the vehicles that were ticketed forexceeding the speed limit were ticketed morethan once in the time period covered by thereport.(E) Drivers on Maryland highways exceeded thespeed limit more often than did drivers on otherstate highways  not covered in the report.
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沙发
 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-2 18:59:36 | 只看该作者
好心人,帮帮忙哈,怎么也想不明白尤其是78完全不理解,谢谢啦
板凳
发表于 2010-6-2 19:31:38 | 只看该作者
这个题目那嚒长啊
都像阅读了
地板
发表于 2010-6-21 15:21:44 | 只看该作者
在未来的十年,乘客人数将增加20%, 列车次数增加5%。 在拥堵时期, 列车次数的增加还是不能满足增加的人,要保证不再拥堵,那么这20%的人应该出现在低峰时期。也可以说,这增加的5%的列车是用来缓解高峰期的拥堵的,而增加的20%的乘客出现在低峰期,不会影响高峰期的交通情况。
5#
发表于 2010-6-21 15:38:04 | 只看该作者
刚刚做到78,有点疑惑就查了下CD,豁然开朗。
OG后面的解释把它归纳为一种题型,就是example+assumption=generation
example:
这道题里已经给出了,就是虽然装有雷达的车只占车总量的3%,但是占超速车辆的33%,很少一部分车占了超速的较大部分,这说明了装有雷达的车更容易超速。
Generation:
就是这道题里的推广开来的结论,即装有雷达的车比没装雷达的成更容易经常超速。这里注意,更容易超速已经在example里面说明了,所以assumption只要能说明regular这个词就可以了
assumption:
B说超速的人经常超速,也就是在example的基础上加上了“经常”二字,故选B

A选项:3%的群体占了超速的33%,说明More likely而不是less likely
C选项:只是把example的结论说了一下,而不是额外需要的assumption
D选项:这个看起来可以支持结论,但是结论是推广到整个大的范围,只是more than once显然不能很好地推广,与B相比较,没有B好
E选项:单独说这条路比较频繁,而其他的路不频繁反而不能推出更大范围的conclusion

个人愚见,欢迎指正
6#
发表于 2010-7-19 15:12:03 | 只看该作者
言外之意思这个题的考点是 regularly??
7#
发表于 2010-7-28 21:18:17 | 只看该作者
我整理一下(用元素ABC表示) A是装雷达 B是被罚 C是超速 MORE LIKELY就是方向

题目条件得出   :A到B   (A装雷达易B被罚)
只有当              :B到C    ( B被罚者易C超速)--正确答案
才可以得出结论:A到C   (A装雷达易C超速
8#
发表于 2010-7-29 15:03:55 | 只看该作者
48。十年内增加20%的客运量,每天增加5%的车次,通过这样做可以减少由于地铁运输拥挤导致的延误。什么条件可以支持这样的目的?GAP

每天5%的车次的增加应该加在那个时段才能提升客运效率?

OG的逻辑是,在交通高峰期,车次的增加意味着客运量的压力更大,所以交通系统更难吸收增加的客流量,所以不适合在客运高峰期增加车次。但是在非高峰期增加车次,就能改善延误的状况。

在本题中,拥挤的客流量不是只发生在高峰期,而是全天候的。而且地铁拥挤指的是人多得difficult for passengers to exit from the trains。所以在高峰期在增加客运量,乘客更挤不出来。
9#
发表于 2010-7-29 15:05:28 | 只看该作者
我整理一下(用元素ABC表示) A是装雷达 B是被罚 C是超速 MORE LIKELY就是方向

题目条件得出   :A到B   (A装雷达易B被罚)
只有当              :B到C    ( B被罚者易C超速)--正确答案
才可以得出结论:A到C   (A装雷达易C超速
-- by 会员 SAGA5 (2010/7/28 21:18:17)


顶!!!看不懂78的都来看这个解释吧!
10#
发表于 2011-3-11 19:58:55 | 只看该作者
48。十年内增加20%的客运量,每天增加5%的车次,通过这样做可以减少由于地铁运输拥挤导致的延误。什么条件可以支持这样的目的?GAP

每天5%的车次的增加应该加在那个时段才能提升客运效率?

OG的逻辑是,在交通高峰期,车次的增加意味着客运量的压力更大,所以交通系统更难吸收增加的客流量,所以不适合在客运高峰期增加车次。但是在非高峰期增加车次,就能改善延误的状况。

在本题中,拥挤的客流量不是只发生在高峰期,而是全天候的。而且地铁拥挤指的是人多得difficult for passengers to exit from the trains。所以在高峰期在增加客运量,乘客更挤不出来。
-- by 会员 winny莹 (2010/7/29 15:03:55)


那如果拥挤不是在高峰期,而是全天候的,那何来“高峰”呢??又哪有“低峰”呢??
就是应该增加高峰期时候可以用的车辆啊,低峰期都没有人,增加车有什么用啊?
不理解哎(⊙_⊙)?
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