helr逻辑笔记
Inthe year following an eight-cent increase in the federal tax on a pack ofcigarettes, sales of cigarettes fell ten percent. In contrast, in the year prior to the taxincrease, sales had fallen one percent. The volume of cigarette sales is therefore strongly related to theafter-tax price of a pack of cigarettes. Whichof the following, if true, would most strengthen the argument above? 结论是The volume of cigarette sales is thereforestrongly related to the after-tax price of a pack of cigarettes. 前提:烟税上升,销量就掉下来 结论:税后价格和销量是有很大的联系的。(税高导致销量下降) 找选项:提到烟税和销量,或者能解释销量下降的。 (A)Duringthe second year after the tax increase, cigarette sales increased by asignificant amount.(另外一个时间里,税和销量关系发生了变化。CQ1相关性不存在,削弱选项。) (B)Theinformation available to consumers on the health risks of smoking remainedlargely unchanged in the period before and after the tax increase.(不存在独立第三因素,对于健康的认知导致的sales下降。(加强选项。)) (C)Most consumerswere unaware that the tax on cigarettes was going to increase.(独立第三因素,没有意识到上升导致不发生购买行为(被吓到了。。)是意识上刺激导致购买减少,削弱选项。) (D)Duringthe year following the cigarette tax increase, many consumers had less income,in inflation-adjusted dollars, than they had had in the previous year.(收入减少导致不发生购买行为。独立第三因素。削弱选项。) (E)Duringthe year after the tax increase, there was a greater variety of cigarettes onthe market than there had been during the previous year.(种类更多,不能形成独立第三因素,也没有涉及因和果。不是削弱方向。) 答案是B。但是ACD都是削弱项。可以削弱这个推理。 |