Oh oops, you're right. +1 can make all the difference in the world. For example 2*3 + 1 will have a prime factor of 7. and 2*5 +1 will have a prime factor of 11.
If P is a prime number then of course P is greater than 30.
If P is a product of prime numbers and has no prime factor greater than 30, then one of its prime factors, say x, must be a prime between 2 and 30, and is also a factor of P-1 (product of 2, 3... 29).
Here's the tricky part. Any number that's a factor of Y and Z is also a factor of Z - Y.
That means x is a factor of 1 => impossible => x has to be greater than 30.
Let P = 2*3*5...*29 + 1 and Q = P - 1 the earlier part explains that x has to be a prime factor of both P and Q
the tricky part is "x is also a prime factor of P - Q" (just remember this rule) => x is a factor of 1 => the assumption that P has no prime factor > 30 is wrong => II is wrong