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Argue原文
25. Thefollowing was written as a part of an application for a small-business loan bya group of developers in the city of Monroe.
"Ajazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise.Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus, the proposed new jazzclub in Monroe, the C-Note, would have the local market all to itself. Plus,jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended Monroe'sannual jazz festival last summer; several well-known jazz musicians live inMonroe; and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly,' whichairs every weeknight at 7 P.M. Finally, a nationwide study indicates that thetypical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment."
Write aresponse in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate theargument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
In thisargument,the author concludes that a jazz music club,the C-Note, in Monroewould be a tremendously profitable enterprise and have the local market all toitself .To strenghen this conclusion ,the arguer presents the fact that over 100,000 people attended Monroe’s annualjazz festival last summer,and that several well-know jazz musicians live in Monroe.Healso points out that the “Jazz Nightly” is the highest-rated radio program inMonroe.Furthermore,the author cites that a nationwide study indicates that thetypical jazz fan spends close to 1,000 dollars per year on jazz entertainment. Asfirst glance,the argument might be somewhat reasonable ,but close scrutinyreveals that it contains several unconvincing assumptions and is therefore unpersuasive.
First,thefact that over 100,000 people attended the jazz festival last summer does notnecessarily indicate that all of them are local residents,or that the Monroe residents would be intrested injazz. Perhaps ,most of the 100,000 people might be foreigners from nearbycities.Or perhaps ,they might be only intrested in the atmosphere that ammoutsof people get together and take part in diverse activities,not the jazzitself.In shot, without providing morepowerful evidence indicating that the 100,000 people are the local residentswho are crazied about the jazz ,the author cannot rely on the liminted evidenceto support his claim.
Second,theauthor unfairly assumps that several well-known jazz musicians living in Monroeindicates that jazz is extremely popular in there.The author ignores other explanations for well-known jazzmusicians to choose the Monroe to put down roots.For example, the Monroe isbeautiful suitable for living ,and thereby they choose here to settle down.Thus,without rolling out the all other explanation for the reason that severalwell-known jazz musicians live in Monroe ,the author cannot convince me thatjazz is extremely popular in Monroe.
Third,byrelying on the nationwide study to support the conlcusion ,the argument dependson the assumption that the typical jazz fans in Monroe spend close to 1000dollars per year on jazz entertainment.Yet the arguer provides no evidence tosupport this assumption.It’s possible that the residents in Monroe don’t go onthe stream and spend little dollars on jazz.Without eliminating thispossibility,the author cannot rely on the nationwide study to conclude that theC-Note club would be a profitable enterprise.
To sum up, theargument’s recommendation is not well supported because the evidence the aguercited in the analysis doesn’t lendstrong support to what the arguer claims.To solidify the argument ,the arguershould provide more evidence to prove that the jazz is extremely popular inMontoe..Furthermore, we still need more information concerning that the C-Notewould have the local market . |
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发表于 2012-6-9 02:23:59
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