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小兵张嘎逻辑难题之四

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楼主
发表于 2003-4-2 17:03:00 | 只看该作者

小兵张嘎逻辑难题之四

LSAT上册第10套第二个section

22. Politician: From the time our party took office almost four years ago the number of people unemployed city-wide increased by less than 20 percent. The opposition party controlled city government during the four preceding years, and the number of unemployed city residents rose by over 20 percent. Thus, due to our leadership, fewer people now find themselves among the ranks of the unemployed, whatever the opposition may claim. (10-2)***************
The reasoning in the politician’s argument is most vulnerable to the criticism that
(A) the claims made by the opposition are simply dismissed without being specified
(B) no evidence has been offered to show that any decline in unemployment over the past four years was uniform throughout all areas of the city
(C) the issue of how much unemployment in the city is affected by seasonal fluctuations is ignored
(D) the evidence cited in support of the conclusion actually provides more support for the denial of the conclusion
(E) the possibility has not been addressed that any increase in the number of people employed is due to programs supported by the opposition party.
沙发
发表于 2003-4-2 21:27:00 | 只看该作者
I prefer D. 其他几项多多少少都显得无关。



笨猪愚见~大牛指教
板凳
发表于 2003-4-2 23:23:00 | 只看该作者
Agree to Piggy.How can the politicion conclude that fewer people are unemployed, in the case that the unemployment number keeps rising, even in a moderate rate.
地板
发表于 2019-8-20 18:28:23 | 只看该作者
小兵张嘎 发表于 2003-4-2 17:03
LSAT上册第10套第二个section22. Politician: From the time our party took office almost four years ago ...

1. 人口基數有沒有一樣?

2. 有沒有除了這個政客政黨所強調的自己政黨的領袖決策以外其他外在的因素影響了失業人口數量的相差?

答案怎麼會是D?  還有人同意?  還沒有人改正?

答案當然是最後一個E, D在講什麼?  D的意思是說用來支持結論的證據其實反而是支持了要推翻結論的反証。哪有啊, 證據靠不靠譜是一回事, 可是證據並沒有支持反方政客的削弱啊。

E的意思是說, 在民主社會裡面四年一個任期, 那有沒有可能反方政黨在任期的最後一個月推行的法案來減少失業率人口的法案的施行結果, 被現在這個政客的政黨搶了功勞?只要這個機率是存在的, 政客講的結論就不一定對了。

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