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FeiFei-56

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楼主
发表于 2004-10-27 07:59:00 | 只看该作者

FeiFei-56

The simple facts are these: the number of people killed each year by bears is about the same as the number of people killed by lightning of golf courses. And the number of people killed by lightning on golf courses each year is about the same as the number of people electrocuted by electric blenders. All the horrible myths and gruesome stories aside, therefore a grizzly bear is in fact about as dangerous as an electric blender or a game of golf.


56. Which one of the following, if true, would most effectively undermine the author’s argument?



(A) Although the number of people killed by lightning on golf courses each year is very small, the total number of lightning fatalities is many times greater.



(B) Electric blenders are among the safest housed hold appliances; were the author to compare fatalities from electrical appliances in general, she would get a much higher figure.



(C) Most people would rather take their chances with benders and golf games than with grizzly bears.



(D) Bears in general---including black, brown, and cinnamon bears, as well as grizzly bears---kill many more people than do electric blenders.



(E) Statistics show that the number of times people use electric blenders each year exceeds the number of times people play golf each year, which in turn far exceeds the number of contacts people have with grizzly bears each year.



选择E 是的,但是的确在C 上犹豫了,我在想C 不能作为他因去削弱吗- 就是说人们面对机会的不同决定是不是DANGEOUS 吗?是因为有MOST PEOPLE 所以大多数人的想法无关吗?


象E 这种STASTISTIC 引出的 一般都没什么问题吗?虽然知道他是 找出影响危险的另个原因


总感觉有点象 FALSE APPEAL 似的呢?




沙发
发表于 2004-10-27 08:35:00 | 只看该作者
其实原文结推理是典型的从NUMBER(死亡的人数)推出PERCENTAGES(危险性,危险性是一种PERCENTAGES,一种比率,一种可能性,即死亡人数比接触数量,它大,才说明危险大)。所以要WEAKEN它,就得像E一样从接触次数方面入手。C其实为无关选项。结论是个客观现象,与个人主观愿不愿意无关。
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2004-10-27 22:50:00 | 只看该作者

为什么每次看到LAWYER 的解释都想‘AHA’ 呢!怎么也没想到他是个混淆NUMBER AND PERCENTAGE 的问题!谢谢LAYWER !C 的无关性质也很清楚了!

总是对选项有SATISTICS 有种本能的排除感觉 也不知道为什么!

地板
发表于 2005-9-21 23:32:00 | 只看该作者

就是,每次看到lawyer的解释都豁然开朗,如清风拨开迷雾,不知道他是怎样修炼到这等境界的

5#
发表于 2009-10-1 17:01:00 | 只看该作者

关于E,费费的解释如下

E: 正确, 人们接触某种情况的时间 (机会) 越多 (), 其危险度越高.
            

这正好和lawyer的相反。其实我同意lawyer

6#
发表于 2014-6-3 10:50:33 | 只看该作者
解释很清楚啊!感谢!
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