argument 51（餐馆应该用人造奶油代替黄油~~）求PIAPIA~~

yzy0704

（好久没写argument了。。大概写完还有3分钟左右。。啊啊写 arg 也那么紧 %>_<%  字数还好~~）

In the passage, a manager of a restaurant argues that the company should use margarine instead of butter. He thinks that after the restaurant uses margarine, there are few customers complaining about this change. It may because of costumers' not able to tell if they use butter or margarine. And since margarine will cost much less than butter, the company should import more margarine instead of butter. This argument seems right at the first glance, but when analyzing it in detail, we could find some flaws in it.

In the first place, the manager holds the point that since there are not many people complaining about this change, margarine may be also welcomed by people. But the manager has not made more survey about whether people are really fond of this change. If there are many people do not like the change, but they have not argued about it, the thought of the manager will be wrong. For example, some people do not like margarine in bread, but they have no time to complain about it, willing to get to the office quickly, so it may be less possible for them to do this thing. So from this simple example could we know that if the manager must think that this change will cater to many people, he must take more evidence to prove it as well .

What's more, the manager argues that 98 people out of 100 are happy with the change, so it will be good to make this change. This seems not very persuasive. Since 100 people are such a small group, the survey may not seem very useful. For example, if the manager only does research on those who have insensitive tastes, then these people may not able to tell the difference between butter and margarine. So if the manager wants to make sure that most of people will welcome margarine, he should do some researches on various kinds of people, including young people, adults and old men.

Furthermore, even if the two reasons taken above have no effect on the survey made by the manager, there is another flaw in the manager's argument. He thinks that he should extend the cost-saving change to its restaurants in the southeast as well as the northeast. This may bring about bad consequence. Since there must be a lot of difference between south and north, if this change could bring profits in the north, it may be bad in the south. So if the manager wants to make changes in the two places, he must do surveys on both of north and south.

To sum up, from all the arguments issued above, it comes to a conclusion that the manager's idea about doing some changes in the restaurants may be bad to the company. And if the manager want to make sure that these changes can surly bring more profits to the company, he must do more surveys in details to make more persuasive evidence.

普渡哥

He thinks that after the restaurant uses margarine, there are few customers complaining about this change.

时态应该不对，前面应该是过去式。

普渡哥

你的写作还是很好的，看好你：）期待9月1日你的好消息！

blessing!

yzy0704

谢谢普渡哥，我加油！！