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初稿,我自己都没有检查过, 掐时间了,但是还是没有在规定时间内完成. 还得麻烦斑竹和G友来指点,我表示很受写作的打击 Argument 8
The following appeared in a memo from the director of student housing at Buckingham College.
"To serve the housing needs of our students, Buckingham College should build a number of new dormitories. Buckingham's enrollment is growing and, based on current trends, will double over the next 50 years, thus making existing dormitory space inadequate. Moreover, the average rent for an apartment in our town has risen in recent years. Consequently, students will find it increasingly difficult to afford off-campus housing. Finally, attractive new dormitories would make prospective students more likely to enroll at Buckingham."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
写作
In this argument, the author concludes that Buckingham College should build a number of new dormitories. To justify this conclusion, the author states that Buckingham’s enrollment is growing and, based on current trends, will double over the next 50 years, thus making existing dormitory space inadequate. Moreover, the author cites the average rent for an apartment in our town has risen in recent. Thus, students will find it increasingly difficult to afford off-campus housing. This argument is fraught with vague, oversimplified, and unwarranted assumptions.
The major problem with this argument is that the author fails to describe the existing number of dormitories and the in-campus housing number of students. If dormitories’ number is redundant to in-campus housing number of student, the act building a lot of new dormitories is unnecessary. Even if the existing number of dormitories is far more enough to enrollment, this argument is short of further trend of enrollment in 50 years. Absent evidence that enrollment double in 50 years is a sharply increasing, it is much possible that the increase is smooth and steady. According to the compound growth rate, amount can be doubled in five years if it can maintain fifteen percent increasing. To better evaluate the increasing speed of enrollment, the author can provide Buckingham’s enrollment previously or the predicted students’ number of college. Unless the author can demonstrate these specific data, the author’s concern about this assumption is unfounded.
Another flaw that weakens this argument is that the statement of the average rent for an apartment in our town has risen in recent years is vague. Perhaps the rent of the high grade residence is roaring high, but the low-end housing which suits for college students that is stable. This scenario is quite possible, especially considering that average price is combination of the two type apartment. Even if the rent of the low-end housing which suiting for college students has risen, but the author fails to indicate amount of increase of apartment. The statistical evidence the result of the survey upon which the argument relies is too vague to be convincing.
In addition, the author fails to consider and rule out other possibility such as the increasing income of their families and sharply increasing of living expense, the assertion that students will find it increasingly difficult to afford off-campus housing is not cogent to me. Moreover, contingencies such as government subsidy and college allowance call all attribute to students can afford off-campus housing.
Finally, the author simply considers that new dormitories would attract more students to enroll at Buckingham, this is ridiculous. There is no information available to justify any causal relationship between new dormitories and enrollment. In order to draw a better conclusion, the author should reason more convincingly, cite some evidence that is more persuasive, and take every possible consideration into account.
In sum, the author fails to validate the conclusion that Buckingham College should build a number of new dormitories.
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