manhattan逻辑题

annzhang

Analyst: The pace of technological development brings a constant stream of new devices to the market, and many of them enjoy commercial success. But announcing new technology too soon after the introduction of a successful device can backfire. Once consumers hear about the new device, they may stop buying the one currently on sale. So, if a company wishes to announce the upcoming sale of a new device, it should wait until purchases of the old device have begun to decline.


Which of the following, if true, would best support the analyst's main assertion?
    A. New technology often becomes less expensive after an initial surge in sales.
    B. Media outlets, such as television programs and magazines, often report on the planned introduction of new devices while the sales of old devices are still strong.
    C. Many consumers are unable to determine whether new technology is superior to current technology.
    D. Surveys have shown that some consumers make only one or two technology purchases per year, whereas others make more frequent purchases.
    E. Consumers tend to be loyal to technology companies whose products they enjoy using.


OA is B
解释是这样的:The conclusion is that a company should wait until purchases of an old device have begun to decline before announcing a new device. The basis for this claim is that consumers stop buying the old device. We are asked to strengthen the argument.


(A) The typical drop in the price of new technology does not influence whether a company should wait until sales of an old technology begin to decline before introducing a new one.


(B) CORRECT.  This choice states that media outlets such as television and magazines often report on the planned introduction of new devices while sales of old devices are still strong. The argument requires that consumers "hear about the new device"; stories in the media provide a means for consumers to do so.


(C) If many consumers are unable to determine the superiority of new technology, then they might be less swayed to wait for a new, recently announced device than otherwise. As a result, this claim may be seen to weaken the analyst's assertion.


(D) The number of technology purchases per year does not directly relate to this argument.  The argument is about waiting until the consumer demand declines before announcing a new technology.  However frequently consumers typically purchase technology, some will be ready to buy the old device when news of the upcoming device gets out -- and according to the argument, this news will cause some of those consumers to wait.  


(E) The passage makes no mention of whether the technologies belong to the same company or different companies.


我的疑惑是:　要加强的内容是"不应该在旧产品挺好的时候推出新产品",而B选项则说,在媒体方面(如电视节目和杂志)通常采取的方案是"在旧的产品还挺好的时候就推出新的",这不是削弱原论点么...


求指导!!! thanks in advance!

annzhang

不好意思,刚刚太急了,发重了

sdcar2010

You understanding of 要加强的内容是"不应该在旧产品挺好的时候推出新产品", is wrong.

It is "it should WAIT to announce the upcoming sale of a new device until purchases of the old device have begun to decline. "

sdcar2010

if a company wishes to announce the upcoming sale of a new device, it should wait until purchases of the old device have begun to decline.

Meaning:
If a company wishes to announce the upcomming sale of a new device, it should wati (to announce the new device) until purchases of the old device have begun to decline.

Further, the meaning of "it should wati (to announce the new device) until purchases of the old device have begun to decline":

until means "up to the time and when"

So the meaning of the last part is: The company should wait to announce the new product when the purchases of the old device have begun to decline.  No announcement before the old fashion has subsided.

annzhang

did you mean that the announcement of a new device is different from the announcement of a new device sale? ( i still don't get it)
and is the option B means that as media will report the new device, company should not announce the upcoming sale?

sdcar2010

planned introduction of new devices = upcoming sale of a new device in the eyes of a consumer or company.

annzhang

ok, i get that. thanks~ then how did B(Media outlets, such as television programs and magazines, often report on the planned introduction of new devices while the sales of old devices are still strong) strengthen the assertion in the argument?

sdcar2010

Because after watching or reading the media report, consumers would have heard about the new device.  "Once consumers hear about the new device, they may stop buying the one currently on sale."

annzhang

i get it, thanks