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贴一个动物过敏逻辑题的解析。
Q: strengthen / explain the situation
Arg: P1: people who spend time with animals often develop animal allergies P2: zoo employees: 30% had animal allergies (assumption: those employees all had lots of animal contact... what about the people who work at the front gate selling tickets or in some office somewhere doing the marketing or accounting?) P3: conclusion: in general population (not just zoo employees), ppl with lots of animal contact have animal allergies at a rate "substantially more" than 30%. [Note to self: substantially MORE? How can we assume it's HIGHER? Wouldn't the natural assumption be to assume it's about the same? That's kind of a leap there.]
Okay, so there's something missing that allows the conclusion to make this big leap to assuming the rate is "substantially more." If we knew what that piece of info was, it would make the conclusion somewhat more likely to be true. And that's what I'm trying to do with this question, so let's go find that piece of info.
A) Zoo employees who get animal allergies will stop being zoo employees. Okay, so they'd remove themselves from the "zoo employee" category... which means they wouldn't be part of that survey anymore. They're leaving this job BECAUSE the job requires animal contact. People who work in non-animal-related fields wouldn't need to quit their jobs. So, basically, this one's saying that zoo employees would underrepresent the % of people who have animal allergies, because that allergy would cause some people to leave that specific job.
B) pets at home doesn't address issue in arg. Eliminate.
C) This is probably true. But the argument already limits the "general population" group under discussion to the ones who have a similar level of exposure as zoo employees. The argument didn't try to conclude anything about ALL members of the general population. (And, if it did, then this choice would WEAKEN the argument, not strengthen it!) Eliminate.
D) domestic pets vs. zoo animals is not at issue in the arg. Eliminate.
E) protective gear not at issue. Eliminate. |
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