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- 2012-5-11
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1. 32’
P: if the exercises are suddenly increased, the probability of heart attack will increase
C: the new health program will increase the heart attack probability
Assume: the new health program will suddenly increase exercises
【因果】突然增加运动量会增加心脏病可能。所以新的健康项目会增加心脏病可能。填补gap。
2. P: O released a new product, three days later E released a similar product
P: the occurrence is coincidental, however, there are too fundamental to be mere coincidence
问main point, 就是conclusion of the argument, 就是however后面那一句。However the two products are too fundamental to be coincidence.
3. 59’
P:a medicine contains T, test result is negative
C1: anthropologist is incorrect
C2: anthropologist: since the test is in acidic solution, the results is invalid
【二人对话】人类学家认为药物里面有T,因为实验结果是负性。但是实验的溶液是酸性的,所以结果不可行。化学家认为:人类学家的说法关于负性得出药物有T的说法错误。
1. 加强化学家。就是药物有T 因为负性是错误的。直接加强。The test result of negative might be interfere with other reasons, which cannot guarantee the presence of T.
2. 加强人类学家。就是有T的说法是错误的。直接加强。Acidic solution will make the results unbelievable. The acidic solution cannot guarantee the negative means presence of T.
4. 28’
P: one year an article claimed that coffee is dangerous to health
P: the next year another article says that coffee is beneficial to health
C: the contradictory opinions show that experts are useless for guiding decisions about health
【归纳】一个文章说咖啡不好,另一个文章说咖啡好。所以专家的意见是没有用的。例子到结论不完全归纳的典型。只有两个文章不足以说明专家的意见是没有用的。 不知道文章出处,正确性,等因素,无法得出归纳结论。
Only two articles are not representative of the general validity of opinions of experts
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