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OG12 78题

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11#
发表于 2011-8-16 14:22:03 | 只看该作者
第三遍OG到这题又卡了,看了各版解释我想说一下我思考的结果,提干中的3%和33%有一点暗含比较。因为3%的人装radar,如果正常情况按此概率被罚的人里应该也有3%装radar才对,可结果却是33%,这就说明装了radar更易被罚一些,而结论却是装了radar更易超速,所以答案要在被罚和超速间搭桥,即装radar易被罚,被罚易超速,则装radar易超速。
12#
发表于 2011-12-4 17:35:03 | 只看该作者
IMO, "regularly" is the key point, as actually it's the gap between premises and conclusion.

3% drivers equipped with radar   ---- P1
33% ticked equipped radar ----P2
equipped with radar are more likely to exceed the speed regularly ---- C


P1 and P2 => equipped with radar are more likely to exceed the speed.   ---- R1


Comparing R1 with C, we can find "regularly" is the gap.   Then, we can cross out A, C, and D directly.
13#
发表于 2011-12-4 17:53:05 | 只看该作者
总人群中 罚单者 3%
雷达者中 罚单者 33%

Therefore 雷达者中罚单比例更高

雷达者中超速者比例更高

罚单=超速
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