prep上的一篇阅读

daier

截取一段吧，信息够用了


The second argument is also problematic. Financing the deficit by increasing the money supply should cause inflation only when there is not enough room for economic growth.Currently, there is no reason to expect deficits to cause inflation.However, since many financiers believe that deficits ordinarily create inflation, then admittedly they will be inclined to raise interest rates to offset mistakenly anticipated inflation.This effect, however, is due to ignorance, not to the deficit itself, and could be lessened by educating financiers on this issue.


The author uses the term "admittedly" (see highlighted text) in order to indicate that


(A) the second argument has some truth to it, though not for the reasons usually supposed

(B) the author has not been successful in attempting to point out inadequacies in the two arguments

(C) the thesis that large deficits directly cause interest rates to rise has strong support after all

(D) financiers should admit that they were wrong in thinking that large deficits will cause higher inflation rates

(E) financiers generally do not think that the author's criticisms of the second argument are worthy of consideration



答案：A
不晓得为什么，望大牛指教


The author uses the term "admittedly" (see highlighted text) in order to indicate that


(A) the second argument has some truth to it, though not for the reasons usually supposed

(B) the author has not been successful in attempting to point out inadequacies in the two arguments

(C) the thesis that large deficits directly cause interest rates to rise has strong support after all

(D) financiers should admit that they were wrong in thinking that large deficits will cause higher inflation rates

(E) financiers generally do not think that the author's criticisms of the second argument are worthy of consideration



答案：A
不晓得为什么，望大牛指教

wangsiwei

我是这么理解的。第二种原因不是因为经济上的，而是因为那些金融师认为会导致通涨，所以他们提高了利率。在这个角度上赤字导致利率升高是成立的，但是这些金融师的base本身是错的，所以整个理由是不成立的。

我做的时候在A和D之间想了很久，后来想因为...原因，admittedly...结果，那么这个admittedly应该与这个因果有关，那么只有A了

Vivian1091

我自己想的，写的乱七八糟的，贴上来大家讨论

36题.#3的2ed arg的评价是：financing the deficit by increasing the money supply会引起inflation only when no room. 这句话没有问题。A 导致B only when C。这个逻辑是没有问题的。现在没有原因会导致B，（因为C的情况没有出现）。但是，因为很多financiers认为A会导致B（而不知道先决条件C），所以她们就 提高利率 去抵消 错误预计的inflation，这个effect，被忽视了，并不是deficit本身。。。

通过increase money supply 来融资deficit 会导致inflation，仅仅当no room。现在不会出现这种情况，因为现在有足够的room让 money supply increase。但是这帮傻蛋不知道，她们以为 只要increase money supply就会导致inflation，所以她们就提高了interest rate来抵消错误预计 的inflation。正式因为这帮傻蛋的错误估计，才使得 interest rate提高了，这是人为造成的。而并不是2ed arg中认为的，是因为increase money supply 金融市场自发形成的 interest rate的提高，中间是因为人为的错误估计，以及错误估计之后的错误干预导致的。这些financier想当然的提高了利率。问想当然这个词 放在这是为啥。作者为啥把这个词放在这里。A的意思是2ed还是有一点正确性可言的，但是这点正确性不足以构成支持2ed arg的理由。 一点正确性指的是，2ed arg 逻辑链条是正确的。但是因为傻蛋们忽视了条件C no room 并不存在这个条件错误估计错误干预假象的结果。这点正确性不足以支持2ed，是因为2ed错误是因为人为误判，即使逻辑链对了，傻蛋们的误判导致了2ed的错误。