CXD逻辑题10，请指教

gedn01

Some doomsayers are warning that long-range warming or cooling trends in weather patterns will drastically reduce grain production. More optimistic reports, however , point out that , even if such drifts in average temperature do occur, we should expect little change in grain production because there is little evidence that changes in rainfall patterns will occur. Moreover, for most crops, climate induced yield trends will be masked by both the year to year fluctuation of yields and by the enhancement of yields because of technological factors.

Which of the following is an assumption on which more optimistic reports mentioned in the passage are based?

a) Long-range changes in the weather patterns cannot be accurately predicted.
b) The growing of grain is so highly dependent on technological factors that improvements in yield are unlikely, regardless of climatic conditions
c) Trends in rainfall patterns are more difficult to isolate than are trends in temperature.
d) Long range warming or cooling trends are more damaging to grain production if they are accompanied by changes in rainfall patterns than if they are not.
e)Long range cooling trends are potentially more destructive to grain production than are long range warming trends
在ｂ与ｄ之间产生争议

sayysong

IMO D
B中用了highly dependent，超出了题目中所涉及到的程度。
题目中optimistic sayers认为
即使气温变化，降水也不太会变，所以受损程度不会很大 --> 气温变化，降水也变，那么受损程度会增大