AA38求拍，快考试了，请大家走过路过都进来拍一下！怒谢！

棕榈猫

38. The following appeared in the editorial section of a campus newspaper.

“Because occupancy rates for campus housing fell during the last academic year, so did housing revenues. To solve the problem, campus housing officials should reduce the number of available housing units, thereby increasing the occupancy rates. Also, to keep students from choosing to live off-campus, housing officials should lower the rents, thereby increasing demand.”

Since the occupancy rates for campus housing as well as housing revenue fell during the last academic year, the campus newspaper suggests campus housing officials to reduce the number of available housing units to increase the occupancy rates and to lower the rents thereby keeping students from choosing to live off-campus. At first glance, the recommendation appears to be somehow appealing, while a close examination will reveal how groundless it is. We do not have to look very far to see the invalidity of it.

In the first place, the recommendation is problematic and would produce exactly the opposite result. The campus newspaper argues that campus housing officials should reduce the number of available housing to increase the occupation rates. That, however, will lead to fewer students living on campus. Also, campus housing officials are suggested to lower the rents to make campus housing more attractive. nevertheless with reduced number of campus housing, the revenue, which is affected by both factors, will suffer further decrease.

In the second place, the evidence the author provides is insufficiently to support the recommendation drawn from it. The statistic from only an academic year is not necessarily a good indicator of future trends, unless it can be shown that the last academic year is representative of all academic years. It is possible that the decline is due to collective boycott against campus housing service, which is part of a collection of protests to a new policy put forward by the university. in fact, in face of such limited evidence, the recommendation is completely unwarranted.

In the second place, the argument rests on a gratuitous assumption that expensive rent is the cause of the declining occupation rates for campus housing. However, the assumption is questionable because the author provides no evidence to support this argument. The arguer fails to take into account other facts that might contribute to the result that the number of students living on-campus falls. For example, it is likely that management of campus housing is poor. It is also likely that there are more public accommodations outside the campus, making life off campus much more convenient. Any of these scenarios, of true, would show that lowing rents is not advisable.

In conclusion, the recommendation given sounds unreasonable and somehow of little use. To put forward better suggestions, the arguer would have to provide statistics of recent years. To better assess the argument, we need additional detailed information about on and off campus housing, include rent, environment and so on.

Whitney

Since
the occupancy rates for campus housing as well as housing revenue fell
during the last academic year, the campus newspaper suggests campus
housing officials to reduce the number of available housing units to
increase the occupancy rates and to lower the rents thereby keeping
students from choosing to live off-campus. At first glance, the
recommendation appears to be somehow appealing, while a close
examination will reveal how groundless it is. We do not have to look
very far to see the invalidity of it.

In
the first place, the recommendation is problematic and would produce
exactly the opposite result. The campus newspaper argues that campus
housing officials should reduce the number of available housing to
increase the occupation rates. That, however, will lead to fewer
students living on campus. Also, campus housing officials are suggested
to lower the rents to make campus housing more attractive. nevertheless
with reduced number of campus housing, the revenue, which is affected
by both factors, will suffer further decrease.    {This part is OK, which point out the proposal, if implenmented, will bring the opposite effects}

In
the second place, the evidence the author provides is insufficiently to
support the recommendation drawn from it. The statistic from only an
academic year is not necessarily a good indicator of future trends,
unless it can be shown that the last academic year is representative of
all academic years. It is possible that the decline is due to
collective boycott against campus housing service, which is part of a
collection of protests to a new policy put forward by the university.
in fact, in face of such limited evidence, the recommendation is
completely unwarranted.  {I don't like this part; First, there is no survey or statistic; I will suggest you to say that the proposal may have some difficulty to be done because.... Bla bla, ie. many students will be against it because it will leave student less choice. }

In
the second place, the argument rests on a gratuitous assumption that
expensive rent is the cause of the declining occupation rates for
campus housing. However, the assumption is questionable because the
author provides no evidence to support this argument. The arguer fails
to take into account other facts that might contribute to the result
that the number of students living on-campus falls. For example, it is
likely (possible ) that management of campus housing is poor.  It is also likely
that there are more public accommodations outside the campus, making
life off campus much more convenient. Any of these scenarios, of true,
would show that lowing rents is not advisable.  
[Furthermore, if the leading cause of students' moving out of campus is
due to deteriating living conditions, which could be caused by the lack
of funding, the proposal will make the bad situation even worse. ]    {This part is very nice; you point out that the key is what caused the fewer students living in the campus. }

In
conclusion, the recommendation given sounds unreasonable and somehow of
little use. To put forward better suggestions, the arguer would have to
provide statistics of recent years. To better assess the argument, we
need additional detailed information about on and off campus housing,
include rent, environment and so on.

This how I will arrange the so called "proposal" type argument.

1.{Introduction, mainly the template}

2.{Raise the doubt that the proposal is doable; Example/ Evidence}

3. {Even if it is doable, the effects of proposal is undiresired; Example/ Evidence}

4 {Go depth by extending Paragraph 3; Try to point out the argument falled into which "7 Fallacies" catergeries (template0}

5. {Summary  and suggestion, mainly the template}

棕榈猫

以下是引用Whitney在2007-10-24 0:50:00的发言：

This how I will arrange the so called "proposal" type argument.

1.{Introduction, mainly the template}

2.{Raise the doubt that the proposal is doable; Example/ Evidence}

3. {Even if it is doable, the effects of proposal is undiresired; Example/ Evidence}

4 {Go depth by extending Paragraph 3; Try to point out the argument falled into which "7 Fallacies" catergeries (template0}

5. {Summary  and suggestion, mainly the template}

谢谢Whitney!

我还有一点疑问：1如果只用一个段落来分析文章犯了哪几宗罪，会不会不能够讲的很充分？

                             2如果我仍然每分析一总罪时都举例子说明，那么这一段会不会太长了（跟其他段比起来），显的段落结构不平衡？

Whitney

That is good question. I guess you need some kinds of balance. The reason I suugested you to give an example is the instruction of AA.

题目要求：
Discuss how well reasoned you find this argument. In your discussion be sure to analyze the line of reasoning and the use of evidence in the argument. For example, you may need to consider what questionable assumptions underlie the thinking and what alternative explanations or counterexamples might weaken the conclusion. You can also discuss what sort of evidence would strengthen or refute the argument, what changes in the argument would make it more logically sound, and what, if anything, would help you better evaluate its conclusion.

大眼无神

？！？！KISS～～球拍是什么意思？