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Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the Darfir Republic's currency, the pundra, was weak: its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies. Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially. Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.

Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?

正确答案: B

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发表于 2011-4-9 18:44:22 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the Darfir Republic

's currency, the pundra, was weak:its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies.Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially.Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.


Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?



(A) Several of the politicians now recommending that the pundra be allowed to become weak made that same recommendation before each of the last two periods of currency weakness.

(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.

(C) The economy of a country experiencing a rise in exports will become healthier only if the country's currency is strong or the rise in exports is significant.

(D) Those countries whose manufactured products compete with Darfir's on the world market all currently have stable currencies.

(E) A sharp improvement in the efficiency of Darfir's manufacturing plants would make Darfir's products a bargain on world markets even without any weakening of the pundra relative to other currencies.
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沙发
发表于 2011-4-9 19:27:49 | 只看该作者
Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the Darfir Republic



's currency, the pundra, was weak:its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies.Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially.Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.




Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?







(A) Several of the politicians now recommending that the pundra be allowed to become weak made that same recommendation before each of the last two periods of currency weakness.



(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.



(C) The economy of a country experiencing a rise in exports will become healthier only if the country's currency is strong or the rise in exports is significant.



(D) Those countries whose manufactured products compete with Darfir's on the world market all currently have stable currencies.



(E) A sharp improvement in the efficiency of Darfir's manufacturing plants would make Darfir's products a bargain on world markets even without any weakening of the pundra relative to other currencies.


-- by 会员 Xiaotongdi (2011/4/9 18:44:22)


这其实是在类比
用以前执行一项计划的到得效果预测现在执行相同的计划也会得到预测的效果
不知LZ准备AWA的AA了没
如果准备了,对于analogy应该怎么攻击呢?
其实就是说现在的情况跟以前不同了,所以以前得到的结果现在不一定得到

stimulus里说以前以前货币贬值,出口会很好
现在又要贬值货币,出口也会很好
但B指出了现在跟以前有了很大的不同,现在的产能已经达到peak了,也就是说即使你用贬值这种方法,我还是没能力生产更多了
所以B指出了analogy不成立的原因
环境变了~~~
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2011-4-9 20:16:25 | 只看该作者
嗯嗯……好的,我明白了!非常感谢!
地板
发表于 2011-4-9 20:43:27 | 只看该作者
强烈推荐LSAT LOGIC BIBLE, 认真看下来思路清晰很多,就是太多东西了
5#
发表于 2011-4-9 22:20:59 | 只看该作者
强烈推荐LSAT LOGIC BIBLE, 认真看下来思路清晰很多,就是太多东西了
-- by 会员 sorcerer (2011/4/9 20:43:27)



LSAT LOGIC BIBLE是啥米东东?
6#
发表于 2011-4-9 23:10:32 | 只看该作者
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