向NN们求助！一道逻辑题~~OG13 100

xulinran

100. Debater: The average amount of overtime per month worked by an employee in the manufacturing division of the Haglut Corporation is 14 hours. Most employees of the Haglut Corporation work in the manufacturing division. Furthermore, the average amount of overtime per month worked by any employee in the company generally does not fluctuate much from month to month. Therefore, each month, most employees of the Haglut Corporation almost certainly work at least some overtime.

The debater’s argument is most vulnerable to criticism on which of these grounds?

(A) It takes for granted that the manufacturing division is a typical division of the corporation with regard to the average amount of overtime its employees work each month.

(B) It takes for granted that if a certain average amount of overtime is worked each month by each employee of the Haglut Corporation, then approximately the same amount of overtime must be worked each month by each employee of the manufacturing division.

(C) It confuses a claim from which the argument’s conclusion about the Haglut Corporation would necessarily follow with a claim that would follow from the argument’s conclusion only with a high degree of probability.

(D) It overlooks the possibility that even if, on average, a certain amount of overtime is worked by the members of some group, many members of that group may work no overtime at all.

(E) It overlooks the possibility that even if most employees of the corporation work some overtime each month, any one corporate employee may, in some months, work no overtime.

答案是D，非常不明白E为什么不对~~~看起来和D差不多啊~~还有C选项完全看不懂啊！有没有好心人帮分析帮翻译呢?

zxzxy1988

这个题我最后也没懂。因为我和OG理解有差异。我的理解是，在制造部门，平均每人每个月要加班14个小时。但是我对这里的平均产生了疑问：是每个人每年的加班时间除以12，还是整个车间的加班时间除以加班人数？题目的理解是倾向于后者，但是我认为的是倾向于前者。。。So。。。）

gracechin26

我认真研究了一下C  意思是这样的
It confuses （ a claim from which the argument’s conclusion about the H would necessarily follow ）with （a claim that would follow from the argument’s conclusion only with a high degree of probability）.
It confuses A with B
It confuses (a claim A) with (a claim B)
A=argument's conclusion necessarily follow (必然)
B=argument’s conclusion only with a high degree of probability（高可能性）
所以C的意思是混淆了必然和高可能性

gracechin26

我也看不懂C，别说C了 其实每一个我都看不懂

左转弯

同求 C看不懂

xulinran

求NN分析C的句子结构~~~~~~

xulinran

谢谢哦~~我大概明白E为什么不对了~~~但是C到底在说神马呀！看上去好纠结~~~

sicilia小山

我也不懂C在说神马，但是E的错误在于， 文章说明了是per month, 就无关到底是哪个或哪几个month的事，D选项告诉我们，文章始终讨论的是Overtime 的员工，overtime 的员工在MD的情况，overtime员工工作时间波动不大，没有考虑到可能overtime的人只是个别几个人，不一定at least 都overtime，有人就 No overtime at all , 则破坏了conclusion.

偶不是牛牛～也期待高见～

xulinran

没有人帮帮忙嘛？

xulinran

顶哦！