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[逻辑小分队] 每日逻辑链第三季【1-16】

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楼主
发表于 2012-3-10 17:40:03 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |正序浏览 |阅读模式
2. In Western economies, more energy is used to operatebuildings than to operate transportation. Much of thedecline in energy consumption since the oil crisis of1973 is due to more efficient use of energy in homesand offices. New building technologies, which makelighting, heating, and ventilation systems moreefficient, have cut billions of dollars from energybills in the West. Since energy savings from theseefficiencies save several billion dollars per yeartoday, we can conclude that 50 to 100 years fromnow they will save more than $200 billion per year(calculated in current dollars).

On which one of the following assumptions does theargument rely?

(A) Technology used to make buildings energyefficient will not become prohibitively

expensive over the next century.

(B) Another oil crisis will occur in the next 50 to100 years.

(C) Buildings will gradually become a lessimportant consumer of energy thantransportation.

(D) Energy bills in the West will be $200 billionlower in the next 50 to 100 years.

(E) Energy-efficient technologies based on newscientific principles will be introduced in thenext 50 to 100 years


A recent report determined that although only three percent of drivers on Maryland highways equipped their vehicles with radar detectors, thirty-three percent of all vehicles ticketed for exceeding the speed limit were equipped with them.  Clearly, drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly than are drivers who do not.



The conclusion drawn above depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) Drivers who equip their vehicles with radar detectors are less likely to be ticketed for exceeding the speed limit than are drivers who do not.

(B) Drivers who are ticketed for exceeding the speed limit are more likely to exceed the speed limit regularly than are drivers who are not ticketed.

(C) The number of vehicles that were ticketed for exceeding the speed limit was greater than the number of vehicles that were equipped with radar detectors.

(D) Many of the vehicles that were ticketed for exceeding the speed limit were ticketed more than once in the time period covered by the report.

(E) Drivers on Maryland highways exceeded the speed limit more often than did drivers on other state highways not covered in the report.

Researchers have found that when very overweight people, who tend to have relatively low metabolic rates, lose weight primarily through dieting, their metabolisms generally remain unchanged.  They will thus burn significantly fewer calories at the new weight than do people whose weight is normally at that level.  Such newly thin persons will, therefore, ultimately regain weight until their body size again matches their metabolic rate.



The conclusion of the argument above depends on which of the following assumptions?

(A) Relatively few very overweight people who have dieted down to a new weight tend to continue to consume substantially fewer calories than do people whose normal weight is at that level.

(B) The metabolisms of people who are usually not overweight are much more able to vary than the metabolisms of people who have been very overweight.

(C) The amount of calories that a person usually burns in a day is determined more by the amount that is consumed that day than by the current weight of the individual.

(D) Researchers have not yet determined whether the metabolic rates of formerly very overweight individuals can be accelerated by means of chemical agents.

(E) Because of the constancy of their metabolic rates, people who are at their usual weight normally have as much difficulty gaining weight as they do losing it.



Traditionally, decision-making by managers that is reasoned step-by-step has been considered preferable to intuitive decision-making.  However, a recent study found that top managers used intuition significantly more than did most middle- or lower-level managers.  This confirms the alternative view that intuition is actually more effective than careful, methodical reasoning.



The conclusion above is based on which of the following assumptions?

(A) Methodical, step-by-step reasoning is inappropriate for making many real-life management decisions.

(B) Top managers have the ability to use either intuitive reasoning or methodical, step-by-step reasoning in making decisions.

(C) The decisions made by middle- and lower-level managers can be made as easily by using methodical reasoning as by using intuitive reasoning.

(D) Top managers use intuitive reasoning in making the majority of their decisions.

(E) Top managers are more effective at decision-making than middle- or lower-level managers.



Generally scientists enter their field with the goal of doing important new research and accept as their colleagues those with similar motivation.  Therefore, when any scientist wins renown as an expounder of science to general audiences, most other scientists conclude that this popularizer should no longer be regarded as a true colleague.



The explanation offered above for the low esteem in which scientific popularizers are held by research scientists assumes that



(A) serious scientific research is not a solitary activity, but relies on active cooperation among a group of colleagues

(B) research scientists tend not to regard as colleagues those scientists whose renown they envy

(C) a scientist can become a famous popularizer without having completed any important research

(D) research scientists believe that those who are well known as popularizers of science are not motivated to do important new research

(E) no important new research can be accessible to or accurately assessed by those who are not themselves scientists



The technological conservatism of bicycle manufacturers is a reflection of the kinds of demand they are trying to meet.  The only cyclists seriously interested in innovation and willing to pay for it are bicycle racers.  Therefore, innovation in bicycle technology is limited by what authorities will accept as standard for purposes of competition in bicycle races.



Which of the following is an assumption made in drawing the conclusion above?



(A) The market for cheap, traditional bicycles cannot expand unless the market for high-performance competition bicycles expands.

(B) High-performance bicycles are likely to be improved more as a result of technological innovations developed in small workshops than as a result of technological innovations developed in major manufacturing concerns.

(C) Bicycle racers do not generate a strong demand for innovations that fall outside what is officially recognized as standard for purposes of competition.

(D) The technological conservatism of bicycle manufacturers results primarily from their desire to manufacture a product that can be sold without being altered to suit different national markets.

(E) The authorities who set standards for high-performance bicycle racing do not keep informed about innovative bicycle design.
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6#
发表于 2012-3-20 18:55:29 | 只看该作者
52
P 建筑用的能源比交通更多
最近几十年来新技术的运用导致建筑用的减少
C 因为建筑能源每年减少了。。开支
所以未来的50到一百年里将会节省。。。钱
A

34
百分之三十三有雷达监测的车超速
所以有雷达监测的车更容易经常超速
B

30
肥胖的人M指数高 节食减肥之后M基本不变
一直瘦的人则M本来就很低
所以胖人减肥之后又会马上变胖直到体重符合指数
A

53
传统来说分布考虑比按直觉考虑更受人欢迎
但是上层管理者更喜欢分布考虑
所以分布考虑更有效
上层管理者的决定总是对的
E

35
当科学家有明确目标研究东西时接受与他一起有这样动力的同事
当一个科学家成功出名之后 别的科学家就不再接受他为同事
一个科学家出名之后可能动力目标改变了
D

30
自行车生产技术由顾客决定
只有比赛运动员才关注自行车技术
所以自行车技术的改进只是为了运动员在比赛中的要求
运动员对外形啊什么的没要求
C
5#
发表于 2012-3-10 22:37:33 | 只看该作者
55"
B:西方经济用在建筑上的比用在交通上的多。
P:新的建筑科技可以更有效率,为西方剩下几亿每年
C:在50-100年内西方将每年剩下超过200亿

39"
P:尽管3%的车安装了雷达,但是开罚单的车33%都装了雷达
C:装雷达更容易超速

47"
P:由于m率低而过重的人通过节食减肥,m率是不会变的。他们比正常人消耗的卡路里少。
C:等他们瘦下来,他们的体重会再次回到适合m率的程度

50"
B:传统来看,经理人一做决定比直觉做决定更好
P:高层经理人直觉做决定比中低层经理人多
C:直觉做决定比一来更有效


30"
P:科学家进入新的研究领域和有相同动力的同事一起研究
C:科学家得了奖后,就不再被当做同事对待了

43"
B:自行车厂商的科技是需求的反映
P:只有专业运动员才会对自行车创新关心并且付钱
C:自行车厂的创新受政府举行的自行车赛限制
地板
发表于 2012-3-10 20:43:08 | 只看该作者
1’03’’
Background:更多的能源用来运行大楼而不是运输
Premise: energy consumption的下降大多来源于能源的有效利用
Conclusion:预计50-100年后会节省超过200billion一年
推测:
E

39’
Background:装雷达的driver只有3%
Premise:33%的超速被罚的车装了雷达
Conclusion:装了雷达的driver比没装的更可能超速
推测:
B

42’
Background:metabolic rate低的肥胖者减肥后metabolism一般保持不变
Premise:他们瘦了以后比正常人燃烧更少的calories
Conclusion:这些瘦了的人体重会回到再次和metabolic rate相匹配的状态
推测:体内多的的calories会怎样怎样使体重增加
C

34’
Background:经理做决定时倾向于靠intuitive
Premise:越高级的经理越考intuitive
Conclusion:intuitive比careful,methodical reasoning有效
推测:intuitive的好处
E

28’
Premise:科学家进入他们的领域是想做重要的新的研究和有同样激情的人做同事
Conclusion:当一个人得了奖后,就不再被其他人当做同事了
推测:得了奖的科学家怎么怎么样
D

29’
Background:自行车制造商的technological conservatism来源于对需求的反映
Premise:对创新感兴趣并愿意购买的只有自行车运动员
Conclusion:因此自行车的技术创新被自行车比赛authorities的标准限制
推测:authorities只会选择竞技类型的自行车
C
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-10 17:43:39 | 只看该作者
zhan.,,,
悲剧。。这题读了半天。

Premise:效率的提高每年省了好多钱

Conclusion:从50100将会省去200每年

4:多

OG上的不做了

premise:减肥成功的人会烧更少的卡路里,和本来身材的人相比

Conclusion:这种新瘦下来的人将会在一次和他们的体型一样

Premise:TOP用更多的指导手段和middle的人相比

Conclusion:指导比step-by-step更好

PremiseGenerally scientists enter their field with the goal of doing important new research and accept as their colleagues those with similar motivation

conclusion:那些在群众里赢得名声的,不被称为colleges

OG上有。。
沙发
 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-10 17:40:55 | 只看该作者
Answer choice (A): This is the correct answer, and a classic Defender. If the
money-saving and energy-saving technology becomes too expensive to use in
the next 100 years, the savings expected will not materialize. Because this idea
would clearly weaken the argument, the author assumes that it does not exist,
and answer choice (A) denies that the technology will become prohibitively
expensive over the next century.
Answer choice (B): Although there has been an energy usage decline since the
1973 oil crisis, the author does not assume that there will be another crisis in the
next 50 to 100 years. Look at the conclusion—does there seem to be a reliance
on the idea in this answer? No.
Answer choice (C): Although this answer plays with the idea mentioned in the
first sentence of the stimulus—that more energy is used to operate buildings
than to operate transportation—no assumption is made that buildings will
become a less important consumer of energy. True, buildings have saved
billions in operating in costs, but the conclusion is about future savings and not
about comparing buildings to transportation.
Answer choice (D): The argument is specific about technologies saving more
than $200 billion per year; the author does not assume that the total bill in the
next 50 to 100 years will be lower by $200 billion.
Answer choice (E): The argument is about current technologies saving money
in the future. The author does not make an assumption regarding new
technologies being introduced in the future.
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