[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day68

Ysandre

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Day 68
1.        地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.

2.        Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~

3.        事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so

PennyWen95

[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day68
Day 68
1.        地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.

这些人只是呼吁/威胁民众，但是实际情况并不会按照他们说的那样发展
民众向lobby group提出的common sense的限制曾经通过过。

2.        Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
这些没有claim的小件行李所值得的价格比较低，可以忽略不计（Strength）/价格高,说明数据无效（weaken）
þ 小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim
保险公司统计的保险索赔率只有1‰，但其实这个数据不准，因为小件被偷了大家就不报案
了，大件的诸如切糕被偷了才会报案——所以其实偷窃率很高，只是没报案而已——所以机
场还是不安全的

3.        事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?

(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so

粉墨婉转

看一下！               

ZZhiyan

1.
P：代表针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案
P2:地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区
C：代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，因为lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过
答案：common sense和building faulty的限制程度差不多，威胁程度也差不多。

2.削弱：不安全。实际上很多claims手里不成功。

3.原因：E

ZZhiyan

感谢分享！               

EasonZHAO

1.        地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
答：departure不在lobby group发生，就不会在地产界发生

2.        Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
答:很多小的行李丢失问题都不会上报

3.        事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so

EasonZHAO

mark

花花嘛嘛

Day 68
1.        地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
Background：地产商威胁民众
P：哪怕提出common sense的限制，也会受到威胁，但Departure从未发生
C：不要理睬威胁
Gap: 支持这个法案=提出common sense的限制？地产商=lobby group?
假设的方向：哪怕民众提出意见，地产商最后都不会退出市场退出这个地区？
地产商对于民众的意见处理方式会跟lobby group一样？
民众的意见不会影响地产商咋这个市场和地区的盈利能力？

2.        Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
P：insurance claims是千分之一，低于机场安保标准1.5%
C：安全
Gap：insurance claims=所有的盗窃案？
削弱的方向：小偷小摸就没有报保险了
只有被盗价值超过1000元，人们才会报保险


3.        事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so

佛系A子在線讀書

1.雖然受到開發商威脅因為他們口嫌體正直
>>common sense最後通過了
>>這個法案的影響沒有比common sense大

2.機場小偷&機場保安
>>很多被偷的行李沒有申請理賠

3.E

ladyJH

Day 68
1.        地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.

类比推理：
民众像lobby group 提出的限制通过了

2.        Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~

机场保险的申诉率是千分之一，机场标准是1.5%以下就认为机场是安全的
Weaken：小件被偷了并没有像保险公司claim，--->所以盗窃率很高，只是没有claim，所以不能说机场是安全的

3.        事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so

marking有很多好处，但是G painted all its narrow，accident缺上升了
E：许多以前不driving这条路的人现在也在这条路driving（人变多了）