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Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the Darfir Republic's currency, the pundra, was weak: its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies. Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially. Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.

Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?

正确答案: B

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楼主
发表于 2009-2-8 14:26:00 | 只看该作者

PREP1-25

25.   (30261-!-item-!-188;#058&004144)

 

Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the Darfir Republic's currency, the pundra, was weak:  its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies.  Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially.  Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.

 

Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?

 

(A) Several of the politicians now recommending that the pundra be allowed to become weak made that same recommendation before each of the last two periods of currency weakness.

(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.

(C) The economy of a country experiencing a rise in exports will become healthier only if the country's currency is strong or the rise in exports is significant.

(D) Those countries whose manufactured products compete with Darfir's on the world market all currently have stable currencies.

(E) A sharp improvement in the efficiency of Darfir's manufacturing plants would make Darfir's products a bargain on world markets even without any weakening of the pundra relative to other currencies.

这题答案是B,看不懂为什么。它的意思是说is now operating at near-peak levels,所以不可能再weak下去吗?感觉好像是有点反前提,而并没有真正的weaken到题目。

沙发
发表于 2009-2-8 17:47:00 | 只看该作者

B说目前工厂的产能全部是满的,就是说及时货币贬值,也没有办法生产出更多的东西来出口。所以就削弱了。

板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2009-2-22 20:00:00 | 只看该作者
啊,真是一语中的,一语解惑啊~~非常感谢非常感谢!!!
地板
发表于 2009-9-3 12:24:00 | 只看该作者
但是operating at peak level只能推出生产总量无法提高,并不意味着出口不能增多。题目并没有说manufacturing goods全是出口啊 请NN释疑?
5#
发表于 2010-1-13 18:36:24 | 只看该作者

(B) After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.

在长期的低于峰值的产能运行后,某国目前的制造行业都在临近产能峰值运行---隐含的意思是,即便贬值货币,出口产品增加,制造业也无力供给?显然与题干偏离,题干只要求判断贬值货币是否就能带来出口增加,至于产能能否跟的上增加的出口应不在考虑范围。
B项只是比其他项好一些而已
6#
发表于 2010-5-6 15:27:01 | 只看该作者
(E) A sharp improvement in the efficiency of Darfir's manufacturing plants would make Darfir's products a bargain on world markets even without any weakening of the pundra relative to other currencies.E说提高效率也能达到相同的目的。为什么不可以呢?
7#
发表于 2010-9-9 02:14:37 | 只看该作者
我觉得E有问题,即使有其他方法(不weaken pundra)能达到增加出口的目的,也不能说明weken pundra这个方案就不好。也就是不能用other ways来达到目的,是无关的。weaken的关键应该是whether it can have certain effect on the politicians' advises.
不知道我表述的是否清楚,个人想法,说的不对,请指教。
8#
发表于 2011-9-5 23:04:08 | 只看该作者
同意楼上。

原文是讨论 货币再次贬值(A)--> 出口上升(B),想要weaken的是 A-->B 的这条链。

E是说,其他方法也可以得到后果B,即 C-->B,不过即使这个成立,也不会破坏A-->B这条链。

所以E是无关选项。
9#
发表于 2014-9-28 11:21:29 | 只看该作者
终于弄明白了!谢谢!
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