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In the past the country of Malvernia has relied heavily on imported oil. Malvernia recently implemented a program to convert heating systems from oil to natural gas. Malvernia currently produces more natural gas each year than it uses, and oil production in Malvernian oil fi elds is increasing at a steady pace. If these trends in fuel production and usage continue, therefore, Malvernian reliance on foreign sources for fuel is likely to decline soon.

Which of the following would it be most useful to establish in evaluating the argument?

正确答案: D

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楼主
发表于 2010-12-16 09:51:16 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
In the past the country of Malvernia has relied heavily on imported oil. Malvernia recently implemented a program to convert heating systems from oil to natural gas. Malvernia currently produces more natural gas each year than it uses, and oil production in Malvernian oil fields is increasing at a steady pace. If these trends in fuel production
and usage continue, therefore, Malvernian reliance on foreign sources for fuel is likely to decline soon.

Which of the following would it be most useful to establish in evaluating the argument?

(A) When, if ever, will production of oil in Malvernia outstrip production of natural gas?
(B)Is Malvernia among the countries that rely most on imported oil?
(C)What proportion of Malvernia's total energy needs is met by hydroelectric, solar, and nuclear power?
(D)Is the amount of oil used each year in Malvernia for generating electricity and fuel for transportation increasing?

(E)    Have any existing oil-burning heating systems in Malvernia already been converted to natural-gas-burning heating systems?

思路::: convert heating systems from oil to natural gas.
in fuel production and usage continue, therefore, Malvernian reliance on foreign sources for fuel is likely to decline soon.

評估題--我當WEAKEN來答題
A部份 ::
因為轉換oil to natural gas, 那代表oil部份越多...可以轉換更多的NATURAL
GAS, 那是否代表---那代表支持結論:reliance on foreign sources for fuel is likely to decline soon.

可以糾正一下我的思路嗎?!越清楚越好^^感恩
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沙发
 楼主| 发表于 2010-12-16 20:58:28 | 只看该作者
求教一下...鳴
板凳
发表于 2010-12-16 23:27:16 | 只看该作者
Supply and demand are twin brothers, neither of which should be overlooked. When the supply (domestic oil production) is increased, so could the demand.  Look at China, which becomes a hungry giants for oil and minerals! Therefore the evaluation a proposal like this, you have to have the whole picture and know where the demand is headed.

D is the info you need to have before reaching a final conclusion on the proposal.
地板
发表于 2010-12-18 15:12:22 | 只看该作者
lz你没看懂题。。。这里只是说把heating systems从用油转到用天然气。。。不是把油变成天然气~
5#
发表于 2010-12-24 23:46:43 | 只看该作者
题目说M国家严重依靠进口石油。现在供热不用石油了,采用天然气。本国石油开采量也在增加,于是说不需要进口石油了。
这里题目存在一个GAP:那就是是否别的东西也需要是由来产生,如果是,别的如果需要石油量增加的话,那么还是需要进口的,所以填补GAP成为这个题目的答案
ABC均是无关选项,题目是关于M国家石油的,所以其他均为无关
E相关,但是与题干相互矛盾了,题干已经说了转变的趋势。
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