OG-10个人正解观点（请牛人指教）

OG-RC-10正解

看了众多nn们的观点，本人也发表一下自己的看法，我觉得仔细推敲题目和选项，很容易找到正确答案，前提是正确的“翻译”：

Meteorite explosions in the Earth’s atmosphere as large as the one that destroyed forests in Siberia, with approximately the force of a twelve-megaton nuclear blast, occur about once a century.

翻译：

观点一：象发生在西伯里亚那场摧毁了大片森林的那么大的陨石大爆炸（大致相当于12兆吨级核弹爆炸）大约一世纪发生一次。

The response of highly automated systems controlled by complex computer programs to unexpected circumstances is unpredictable.

翻译：

观点二：通过复杂计算机程序控制的高自动化系统对不可预测的环境的反应是无法预测的。（暗示一：如果发生陨石大爆炸，高自动化系统是无法预计的；暗示二：程序控制了系统，要改变系统性能必须改变程序）

Which of the following conclusions can most properly be drawn, if the statements above are true, about a highly automated nuclear-missile defense system controlled by a complex computer program?

问：对于通过复杂计算机程序控制的一个高自动化的原子弹防御系统来说，如果以上观点是正确的，以下结论最可能可以得出，
A. Within a century after its construction, the system would react inappropriately and might accidentally start anuclear war.

违反观点二：高自动化系统不能预测陨石爆炸

B. The system would be destroyed if an explosion of a large meteorite occurred in the Earth’s atmosphere.

无关的选项
C. It would be impossible for the system to distinguish the explosion of a large meteorite from the explosion of an uclear weapon.

文中意思只是说：“预测”，而不是说“分析”，这两个概念不能混同，故也不对。

D. Whether the system would respond inappropriately to the explosion of a large meteorite would depend on the location of the blast.

无关选项

E. It is not certain what the system’s response to the explosion of a large meteorite would be, if its designers did not plan for such a contingency.

很明显，从观点一中可以推出：the explosion of a large meteorite 是unexpected circumstances，因为才occur about once a century. 按照观点二的逻辑，高自动化的系统是无法response。反过来要使系统能预测the explosion of a large meteorite 只能改变设计者的程序，或者说是plan。

以上我个人认为是正解。

老美的思维是直线的，也是双向的，正推与反推，中间就是一个逻辑问题：“行”或者“不行”