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In each of the past five years, Barraland's prison population has increased. Yet, according to official government statistics, for none of those years has there been either an increase in the number of criminal cases brought to trial, or an increase in the rate at which convictions have been obtained. Clearly, therefore, the percentage of people convicted of crimes who are being given prison sentences is on the increase.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?

正确答案: C

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楼主
发表于 2010-5-13 12:14:36 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
GWD-18-Q22

In each of the past five years, Barraland’s prison population has increased.Yet, according to official government statistics, for none of those years has there been either an increase in the number of criminal cases brought to trial, or an increase in the rate at which convictions have been obtained.Clearly, therefore, the percentage of people convicted of crimes who are being given prison sentences is on the increase.



Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?



  1. In Barraland the range of punishments that can be imposed instead of a prison sentence is wide.

  2. Over the last ten years, overcrowding in the prisons of Barraland has essentially been eliminated as a result of an ambitious program of prison construction.

  3. Ten years ago, Barraland reformed its criminal justice system, imposing longer minimum sentences for those crimes for which a prison sentence had long been mandatory.

  4. Barraland has been supervising convicts on parole more closely in recent years, with the result that parole violations have become significantly less frequent.

  5. The number of people in Barraland who feel that crime is on the increase is significantly greater now than it was five years ago.
    答案选C,为什么呢,为什么不选B呢

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沙发
发表于 2010-5-13 17:51:32 | 只看该作者
题干:过去的五年里每年监狱人数上升——但这个现象既不是因为犯罪案件的增加也不是因为犯罪率的增加——结论:那就一定是因为犯罪的人当中被判入狱的人数百分比增加了
题目中明确说到监狱人数上升了,结论是被判入狱的人数的百分比增加了,举个例子,本来每年有1000个人犯罪,最后有100个人被判入狱的,现在是犯罪的人数不变还是每年1000人,但是有200个人被判刑了。导致监狱里面人数增多
问削弱:
B、“过去的十年里,监狱拥挤的现象由于一个program of prison construction而得到了消除。”这个选项只能说明监狱拥挤的现象得到了改善,(由于监狱扩大,坐牢的人多还是多,只是没得那么拥挤了)但是不能说明入狱的人就减少了,也不能说明作者的那个结论不对。不是削弱。

C、“十年前,量刑系统受到了改革,延长了最少的被判入狱的年限。”这个选项直接削弱了作者的结论,说明监狱人数增多不是因为入狱的人更多了,而是因为入狱的年限变长了。比如说,原来犯罪,最少只需要坐6个月的牢,但是现在法律改了,最少都要坐1年的牢了,那就导致那些本来6个月满就可以被放出去的人出不去,继续坐牢,而新抓进来坐牢的人又保持原来的增长量不变,当然监狱里面人就越来越多了哦。 削弱了作者的论点
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-13 18:08:00 | 只看该作者
谢谢NN啦,懂了
地板
发表于 2010-8-17 21:20:33 | 只看该作者
suo~!,谢谢NN
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