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新东方小兰40 请教各位牛牛

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楼主
发表于 2009-7-8 11:50:00 | 只看该作者

新东方小兰40 请教各位牛牛

Six months or so after getting a video recorder, many early buyers apparently lost interest in obtaining videos to watch on it. The trade of businesses selling and renting videos is still buoyant, because the number of homes with video recorders is still growing. But clearly, once the market for video recorders is saturated, businesses distributing videos face hard times.

Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the conclusion above?


(A) The market for video recorders would not be considered saturated until there was one in 80 percent of homes.
(B) Among the items handled by video distributors are many films specifically produced as video features.
(C) Few of the early buyers of video recorders raised any complaints about performance aspects of the new product.
(D) The early buyers of a novel product are always people who are quick to acquire novelties, but also often as quick to tire of them.
(E) In a shrinking market, competition always intensifies and marginal businesses fail.

我对题目的理解:买影碟机的人会很快失去看影碟的兴趣,但是租售影碟的商家还是很乐观,因为家庭拥有影碟机的数量还在增加。(只要有人买影碟机,就有有人租买影碟,影碟的客户来自于新增的买影碟机的用户)。但是当影碟机市场饱和的时候,那么影碟的租售商的日子就难过了。

D说早期的影碟机用户,容易快速被新玩意吸引,但是也容易很快对这个玩意失去兴趣。

其他的选项都不靠谱,但是我不理解D和文章的问题是怎么联系的。

沙发
发表于 2009-7-8 12:22:00 | 只看该作者

正如你所理解的:买影碟机的人会很快失去看影碟的兴趣,影碟的客户来自于新增的买影碟机的用户。

要削弱这个前提,就要说,买影碟机的人不会很快失去兴趣。实际上,在你的理解中,忽略了首句中的early。这也正是此题逻辑中的缺陷,即以偏(early buyer)概全(total buyer).

D说早期的影碟机用户,容易快速被新玩意吸引,但是也容易很快对这个玩意失去兴趣。这正是特指early buyer只是那种喜新厌旧的一小群人,不能代表后面的再买影碟机的客户。


[此贴子已经被作者于2009-7-8 12:22:57编辑过]
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-8 13:55:00 | 只看该作者

D想说早期买影碟机的人容易喜新厌旧,而后来的人则不会。

看来题目里的每个字都很重要啊

谢谢啦

地板
发表于 2009-7-8 23:09:00 | 只看该作者

我也上了新东方,逻辑老师说最好不要做小兰的题目,因为答案有争议~建议做Prep和GWD

5#
 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-9 08:44:00 | 只看该作者

啊?这样子啊。。。

那我不白做了 5555

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