1、In an insurance company, each policy has a paper record or an electric record, or both of them. 60 percent of the policies having incorrect paper record have incorrect electric record and 75 percent of the policies having incorrect electric record have incorrect paper record. 3 percent of all the policies have both incorrect paper and incorrect electric records. If we randomly pick out one policy, what is the probability that it is one having both correct paper and correct electric record?
1题. 我觉得有问题, 是否可以确定题目是完整的? 我的分析如下: one policy 有3种情况: (1)单独 paper record (2)单独 electric recor (3) paper record + electric recor.
可以假设有:100 个policy. 3 percent of all the policies have both incorrect paper and incorrect electric records. => 3个policy both incorrect paper and incorrect electric records.
60 percent of the policies having incorrect paper record have incorrect electric record and 75 percent of the policies having incorrect electric record have incorrect paper record => 5 个policy incorrect paper record 和 4 个policy incorrect electric record .
从上面可以得出 5+4-3=6 要么有incorrect paper record 或者 incorrect electric record ,或者都错 也可以得出94个policy 没有incorrect paper record 和 incorrect electric record .
但这些都与最后的问题没有太多的关系. 我们不知道paper record + electric recor 占多少,如何知道那其中又有好多都是正确的?