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A major chemical spill occurred five years ago at Baker's Beach, the world's sole nesting ground for Merrick sea turtles, and prevented nearly all the eggs laid that year from hatching. Yet the number of adult female Merricks returning to lay their eggs at Baker's Beach has actually increased somewhat since five years ago. Clearly, environmentalists' prediction that the world's Merrick population would decline as a result of the spill has proven unfounded.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the argument offered in refutation of the environmentalists' prediction?

正确答案: B

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求解GWD-30-Q32 WHY

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楼主
发表于 2007-12-31 15:44:00 | 只看该作者

求解GWD-30-Q32 WHY

       GWD-30-Q32

A major chemical spill occurred five years ago at Baker’s Beach, the world’s sole nesting ground for Merrick sea turtles, and prevented nearly all the eggs laid that year from hatching.  Yet the number of adult female Merricks returning to lay their eggs at Baker’s Beach has actually increased somewhat since five years ago.  Clearly, environmentalists’ prediction that the world’s Merrick population would decline as a result of the spill has proven unfounded.

                                                         

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the argument offered in refutation of the environmentalists’ prediction?

 

  1. The chemical spill five years ago occurred at a time when there were neither Merrick sea turtles nor Merrick sea turtle eggs on Baker’s Beach.
  2. Female Merrick sea turtles begin returning to Baker’s Beach to lay their eggs when they are ten years old.
  3. Under normal conditions, only a small proportion of hatchling female Merrick sea turtles survive in the ocean until adulthood and return to lay their eggs at Baker’s Beach.
  4. Environmental pressures unrelated to the chemical spill have caused a significant decline in the population of one of the several species of sea birds that prey on Merrick sea turtle eggs.
  5. After the chemical spill, an environmental group rejected a proposal to increase the Merrick sea turtle population by transferring eggs from Baker’s Beach to nearby beaches that had not been affected by the spill.

答案是b,why?

沙发
发表于 2008-1-1 16:58:00 | 只看该作者
The Conclusion: that chemical spill wouldn't cause a decline in Merrick population.
Premise: Since the spill, more and more female Merricks return to lay their eggs.
C: the increase in return female Merricks is caused by those born at least five years before the spill. It implies that the adverse effect of the spill on Merrick population wouldn't show at least five years after the spill in terms of the female population.
板凳
发表于 2009-8-4 22:29:00 | 只看该作者
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