【每日逻辑链练习贴】【逻辑2-8】

superbat28 · 发表于 2011-9-2 22:11:17

都是狒狒的~~吼吼

1. Commissioner: Budget forecasters project a revenue shortfall of a billion dollars in the coming fiscal year. Since there is no feasible way to increase the available funds, our only choice is to decrease expenditures. The plan before you outlines feasible cuts that would yield savings of a billion dollars over the coming fiscal year. We will be able to solve the problem we face, therefore, only if we adopt this plan.

This reasoning in the commissioner’s argument is flawed because this argument

A: confuses being an adequate solution with being a required solution

2. For next year, the Chef’s Union has requested a 10 percent salary increase for each of its members, whereas the Hotel Managers’ Union has requested only an 8 percent salary increase for each of its members. These facts demonstrate that the average dollar amount of the raises that the Chefs’ Union has requested for next year is greater than that of the raises requested by the Hotel Managers’ Union.
Which one of the following, if true, most strengthens the argument?

A: The current salaries of the members of the Chefs’ Union are, on average, higher than the current salaries of the members of the Hotel Managers’ Union

3. High school students who feel that they are not succeeding in school often drop out before graduating and go to work. Last year, however, the city’s high school dropout rate was significantly lower than the previous year’s rate. This is encouraging evidence that the program instituted two years ago to improve the morale of high school students has begun to take effect to reduce dropouts.
Which one of the following, if true about the last year, most seriously weakens the argument?

A. There was a recession that caused a high level of unemployment in the city.

4. The television show Henry was not widely watched until it was scheduled for Tuesday evenings immediately after That’s Life, the most popular show on television. During the year after the move, Henry was consistently one of the ten most-watched shows on television. Since Henry’s recent move to Wednesday evenings, however, it has been watched by far fewer people. We must conclude that Henry was widely watched before the move to Wednesday evenings because it followed That’s Life and not because people especially liked it.
Which one of the following, if true, most strengthens the argument?

A. The show that now follows That’s Life on Tuesdays has double the number of viewers it had before being moved.

AA: JJ Q11
“The Easy Credit Company would gain an advantage over competing credit card services if we were to donate a portion of the proceeds from the use of our cards to a well-known environmental organization in exchange for the use of its symbol or logo on our card. Since a recent poll shows that a large percentage of the public is concerned about environmental issues, this policy would attract new customers, increase use among existing customers, and enable us to charge interest rates that are higher than the lowest ones available.”

纳丁Cat · 发表于 2011-9-3 14:59:14

9-3
1. 35s
Commissioner: Budget forecasters project a revenue shortfall of a billion dollars in the coming fiscal year. Since there is no feasible way to increase the available funds, our only choice is to decrease expenditures. The plan before you outlines feasible cuts that would yield savings of a billion dollars over the coming fiscal year. We will be able to solve the problem we face, therefore, only if we adopt this plan.

This reasoning in the commissioner’s argument is flawed because this argument
委员：预测下一年将有deficit。所以我们必须要减少支出。

削弱：建立在预测上。
A: confuses being an adequate solution with being a required solution
思路：年度财务预算下一财年收入不足量one billion dollars，由于没有feasible way增加可得资金，只有削减开支。因而只是做了一个如何之间节省10亿美金的计划，it is just a required solution but not adequate maybe. 说理分析

2. 35s
For next year, the Chef’s Union has requested a 10 percent salary increase for each of its members, whereas the Hotel Managers’ Union has requested only an 8 percent salary increase for each of its members. These facts demonstrate that the average dollar amount of the raises that the Chefs’ Union has requested for next year is greater than that of the raises requested by the Hotel Managers’ Union.
Which one of the following, if true, most strengthens the argument?
前提：厨师会要要求涨10%的工资。管理会要求涨8%的工资。
结论：厨师会要求涨工资的数量比管理会多。

支持：管理会8%的工资不会多于厨师会10%的工资。
A: The current salaries of the members of the Chefs’ Union are, on average, higher than the current salaries of the members of the Hotel Managers’ Union 前提支持

3. 25s
High school students who feel that they are not succeeding in school often drop out before graduating and go to work. Last year, however, the city’s high school dropout rate was significantly lower than the previous year’s rate. This is encouraging evidence that the program instituted two years ago to improve the morale of high school students has begun to take effect to reduce dropouts.
Which one of the following, if true about the last year, most seriously weakens the argument?
前提：学生没信心时，会自己辍学。数据显示，最近辍学比例下降了。
结论：政府提升学生moral的program起作用了。

削弱：最近失业率上升，学生辍学也找不到工做了。
A. There was a recession that caused a high level of unemployment in the city.他因涉入

4. 30s
The television show Henry was not widely watched until it was scheduled for Tuesday evenings immediately after That’s Life, the most popular show on television. During the year after the move, Henry was consistently one of the ten most-watched shows on television. Since Henry’s recent move to Wednesday evenings, however, it has been watched by far fewer people. We must conclude that Henry was widely watched before the move to Wednesday evenings because it followed That’s Life and not because people especially liked it.
Which one of the following, if true, most strengthens the argument?
前提：A节目被安排到收视很高的B节目之后，收视率大大上升了。移开后又下降了。
结论：人们不是真的喜欢A节目，只是以为它在B节目之后。

加强：新安排的在B节目之后的C节目收视率大大上升了。
A. The show that now follows That’s Life on Tuesdays has double the number of viewers it had before be结论支持

AA: JJ Q11
“The Easy Credit Company would gain an advantage over competing credit card services if we were to donate a portion of the proceeds from the use of our cards to a well-known environmental organization in exchange for the use of its symbol or logo on our card. Since a recent poll shows that a large percentage of the public is concerned about environmental issues, this policy would attract new customers, increase use among existing customers, and enable us to charge interest rates that are higher than the lowest ones available.”

1. 有可能这个公司的用户和潜在用户不关心环保
2. Poll的数据可信么
3. 消费者不会把一个公司环保与否作为是否购买的唯一依据。其他方面看的更多。

superbat28 · 发表于 2011-9-3 17:23:00

两天没看逻辑，今天再刷OG，感觉果然大不如前。。检验下成果~

superbat28 · 发表于 2011-9-3 17:32:39

1. 36s
Conclusion: We can achieve the goal if we adopt this plan
Premise: We cannot increase revenues, so we need to cut down costs, and the proposed plan can help cut down costs.

FLAW: 答案的意思就是结论太唯一了呗？~支持答案！！！

2. 33s 我承认，这道题貌似以前咱们贴国T T
Conclusion: The raise in A is greater than in B
Premise: THe increase percent in A is greater than in B

Strengthen: The initial point is higher in A than in B

3. 30s
Conclusion: The plan instituted 2 years ago has positive outcomes
Premise: Dropout rate declined. And students usually drop out because they do not have positive morale

Weaken: Other possbility to explain why dropout rates declined

4. 46s
Conclusion: People watch Henry because it followed That's Life, not because people like it.
Premise: When it followed That's Life, many people watch Henry. But since it does not follow that program, audience declined

Strengthen: 答案是有因有果~吼吼，我想的是无因无果: When That's Life was not before Henry, Henry did not win so much audience~

UlysessHope · 发表于 2011-9-3 23:21:27

逻辑菜鸟跟帖练习

37s
明年有a billion的亏损，没有可行的方法增加可用金额---------只有减少花费
if only: A if only B表达为B→A
推理缺陷：？

...s （= =）
the Chef’s Union 每人工资增加10%
the Hotel Managers’ Union每人工资增加8%
--------the Chefs’ Union 平均工资增长数值高于 the Hotel Managers’ Union 平均工资增长数值
加强：原本the Chefs’ Union的工资就比the Hotel Managers’ Union 高

39s
drop out before graduating 的人会 go to work
去年dropout rate 显著低于前年
------program instituted two years ago to improve the morale of high school students has begun to take effect to reduce dropouts.
削弱：不招聘没毕业的学生

1'12（第一遍没读懂）
电视节目Henry出现在 Tuesday evenings immediately after That’s Life, the most popular show on television.---- 许多人看电视节目Henry
电视节目Henry出现在 Wednesday evenings, fewer people观看它
-------------- Henry was widely watched before the move to Wednesday evenings because it followed That’s Life and not because people especially liked it.
加强：找个说明的的确是因为henry是因为出现在热播剧之后人们才观看它，而不是因为人们喜欢henry的例子

大三准备留学 · 发表于 2012-4-6 12:26:04

1.明年我们的收入会下降，由于没有更多的基金支持，我们只有削减开支。。计划是我们要先提出能够削减开支的地方，我们能够面临困境仅仅在我们使用了这个计划时
flaw：不知道啊。。
2.一个涨10% 一个涨8% 所以第一个涨的比第二个多
加强：基数第一个至少和第二个一样
3.学生发现在学校不成功时往往会退学去工作，然而今年的退学率低于去年，这一定是因为两年前的一个项目，项目是为了提高学生的积极性。
削弱：工作难找了。。
4.H这个节目在移到一个很好的节目后就收视率很高，当它又移开时收视率又下降很多所以当时的收视率上升并非是这个节目很受欢迎的原因
加强：说它不受欢迎。。。

flonacui · 发表于 2013-8-16 10:40:36

1. 1'05''
goal:to solve the problem one billion shortage only if adopting the plan
plan:to decrease expenditures.
flawed:
2.37s
P: c increased 10% salary increase
H increased 8% salary increase
C: the amount of raises C>H
strengthen: The current salary of each member is higher in C than H
3.35s
P The dropout rate was significantly lower than previous year's.
C It is the program that reduced the droupout rate.
weaken

ther reasons
答案跟backgroud info里的信息联系在了一起是由于recession-less vocation-decreased dropout
4.1'16''
P After H moved to Wednesday, there are far less people watching it.
C The growing popularity about H is because its air after a popular show, not because people fell in love with it.
strengthen

eople even did not know this moving; The popularity about that's life did not change.
答案新的一个在that's life播出的节目同样收视率大涨举了一个例子正向的支持了选项
AA
proceeds 实收款项收益收入
1> The poll
2> plan- intended effect if customers do not like, then waste of money
3> some other way to gain an advantage
4> cost-profit balance

Yvette19 · 发表于 2013-9-10 02:46:11

1. 45s
预算未来财年收入不景气。
没有基金来源，因此要解决问题，只能节约支出。不能开源只能节流了。

Flaw: only if太过头了~

2. 45s
BG:厨师团要求明年涨10%的工资，而经理团只要求涨8%。
Conclusion：厨师要求的涨工资数额比经理高。

Assumption：厨师现在的工资跟经理一样，或者比经理还高。

3. 40s
BG: 觉得自己读不好书的高中生一般就辍学直接工作去了。
Premise: 去年的辍学率比上年低。
Conclusion: 这是两年前的政策发挥作用的表现呀！

Weaken：谁说这个政策发挥效用的周期就是两年的？
答案给的是他因导致结果：由于失业问题严重，高中生要是辍学就找不到工作了，那还不如继续将就读着呢。

4. 30s
1.Henry这个电视节目原来收视率很低。
2.自从播出时间改成周二晚上的That's life之后，收视率大大增加。
3.再之后把它移到周三，收视率又远不如之前了。
Conclusion：所以么Henry收视率激增不是因为人们真的觉得好看，是因为它放在了that‘slife之后

strengthen：另一档被挪到That's life之后的节目也是收视率激增

Monica2020 · 发表于 2019-8-3 08:50:59

1.0:34；1:35
premise：there is no feasible way to increase the available funds, our only choice is to decrease expenditures.
conclusion: We will be able to solve the problem we face, therefore, only if we adopt this plan.
flaw: no other way/ no other possibility
2.0:30;1:20
premise: Chef’s Union has requested a 10 percent salary increase for each of its members, whereas the Hotel Managers’ Union has requested only an 8 percent salary increase for each of its members.
conclusion:the average dollar amount of the raises that the Chefs’ Union has requested for next year is greater than that of the raises requested by the Hotel Managers’ Union.
strengthen: the current level of average salary in the CU is no lower than that in MU
3.0:30; 1:15
premise: Last year the city’s high school dropout rate was significantly lower than the previous year’s rate. conlusion: the program to improve the morale of high school students has begun to take effect
weaken: the enrollemnt has increased significantly last year / other reasons to weaken
4.0:37;1:30
premise: Since Henry’s recent move to Wednesday evenings, however, it has been watched by far fewer people. conclusion: Henry was widely watched because it followed That’s Life and not because people especially liked it.
strengthen: moved the That's life to wednesday evenings and then find Henry is popular again
5.AA
1.民众倾向于保护环境不代表会愿意follow the program 或从这种途径去保护环境
2.就算吸引消费者不代表就会succeed competition, 成本方面
3.the poll

【每日逻辑链练习贴】【逻辑2-8】

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