求解曼哈顿模拟里面的一道逻辑题！完全不懂啊

ginger200800113 · 发表于 2017-9-10 01:29:50

Analyst: The pace of technological development brings a constant stream of new devices to the market, and many of them enjoy commercial success. But announcing new technology too soon after the introduction of a successful device can backfire. Once consumers hear about the new device, they may stop buying the one currently on sale. So, if a company wishes to announce the upcoming sale of a new device, it should wait until purchases of the old device have begun to decline.

Which of the following, if true, would best support the analyst's main assertion?
A. New technology often becomes less expensive after an initial surge in sales.
B. Media outlets, such as television programs and magazines, often report on the planned introduction of new devices while the sales of old devices are still strong.
C. Many consumers are unable to determine whether new technology is superior to current technology.
D. Surveys have shown that some consumers make only one or two technology purchases per year, whereas others make more frequent purchases.
E. Consumers tend to be loyal to technology companies whose products they enjoy using.

从题干开始就不是很懂，第二句和第三句不是矛盾的吗？？
正解是B，我选的E，求NN解答下！！

ginger200800113 · 发表于 2017-9-10 21:26:38

求逻辑NN们解释下！！

KKKimberley · 发表于 2017-9-11 14:07:43

Analyst: The pace of technological development brings a constant stream of new devices to the market, and many of them enjoy commercial success. But announcing new technology too soon after the introduction of a successful device can backfire. Once consumers hear about the new device, they may stop buying the one currently on sale. So, if a company wishes to announce the upcoming sale of a new device, it should wait until purchases of the old device have begun to decline.

简化一下题目：其实是说高科技产品是有一个周期了，商家希望的是现商品销量开始下降时，也就是利润变小时，才介绍新产品（你想想一下，是不是这样才能导致每次推出的产品都能利润最大化）。问的是支持商家这个做法的选项，注意文章中已经说明了顾客是会在新产品推出时选择新产品放弃旧产品的，这是事实（Once consumers hear about the new device, they may stop buying the one currently on sale），商家担心的不是新商品卖不卖的出去或者客户会不会选择其他品牌，而是希望每一次的产品都能得到最大的效用。
E 说的是客户对品牌忠诚，如上分析，商家担心的不是客户忠诚的问题，所以是无关的
B 说的是每次推出新品媒体都会大肆报道，也就是说这个消息会传的很快，加速了现有产品不被选择的几率（打个比方，你想去买个IPhone7，然后听到广告说下个月就要出IPhone8了，你是不是很有可能就不去买iphone7了？

）

tqtzzzzz · 发表于 2017-11-8 10:13:19

感谢楼主！
借一下楼主的帖子，再来问问有没有逻辑NN来解释一下！！！
搬了一下曼哈顿prep上的的解释。
然后看了解释也觉得怪怪的。尤其是正确选项的解释。

题目中的conclusion不是：wait until purchases of the old device have begun to decline.  然后B选项说的不是“report on the planned introduction of new devices while the sales of old devices are still strong”嘛。
然后结论说的是“purchases of the old device have begun to decline”，B选项说的是“sales of old devices are still strong”，一个是销售开始下降了，一个是销售依旧很好，就感觉怪怪的，这怎么能strengthen呢？
求逻辑大神们的解释！！！感谢！！！！

曼哈顿prep上的的解释如下：
The conclusion is that a company should wait until purchases of an old device have begun to decline before announcing a new device. The basis for this claim is that consumers stop buying the old device. We are asked to strengthen the argument.

(A) The typical drop in the price of new technology does not influence whether a company should wait until sales of an old technology begin to decline before introducing a new one.

(B) CORRECT.  This choice states that media outlets such as television and magazines often report on the planned introduction of new devices while sales of old devices are still strong.The argument requires that consumers "hear about the new device"; stories in the media provide a means for consumers to do so.

(C) If many consumers are unable to determine the superiority of new technology, then they might be less swayed to wait for a new, recently announced device than otherwise. As a result, this claim may be seen to weaken the analyst's assertion.

(D) The number of technology purchases per year does not directly relate to this argument.  The argument is about waiting until the consumer demand declines before announcing a new technology.  However frequently consumers typically purchase technology, some will be ready to buy the old device when news of the upcoming device gets out -- and according to the argument, this news will cause some of those consumers to wait.

(E) The passage makes no mention of whether the technologies belong to the same company or different companies.

然后解释说B选项是：stories in the media provide a means for consumers to "hear about the new device".这个解释，感觉的确是加强了“company wishes to announce the upcoming sale of a new device”的，但和上面刚开始我说的old devices感觉很矛盾，还是无法理解啊。

求大神们解答一下！感谢！

zwq! · 发表于 2018-11-4 20:32:47

论据---Once consumers HEAR ABOUT the new device, they may stop buying the one currently on sale.

结论---So, if a company wishes to ANNOUNCE the UPCOMING SALE of a new device, it should wait until purchases of the old device have begun to decline.

选项B---Media outlets, such as television programs and magazines, often REPORT ON the PLANNED INTRODUCTION of new devices while the sales of old devices are still strong.（不是商家主动发起的广告，而是商家公布信息后各大媒体/公众号推文）

所以这里其实是建立起了结论和论据间的link：即商家宣布即将发布新品如何导致消费者们知道新品
（虽然这么说有点白痴，但就是白痴的指出了媒体的媒介作用）

求解曼哈顿模拟里面的一道逻辑题！完全不懂啊

所属分类: GMAT考试

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