argument 60 +5求拍

wling0513 · 发表于 2012-5-21 15:12:36

60) The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice for a client.
Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil.
提纲：作者假定在将来居民仍然用oil，并且会选用CI的oil；
作者假定未来年真的很冷，并且在这些冷的年份能将投资额回收且获利；
作者假定新增的人口将建房且会用oil取暖。
In this letter the author recommend investment in Consolidated Industries (CI), one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil. In order to support this recommendation the author cites the following facts

1) most homes in the northeastern United States traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating;(2) last heating season that region experience 90days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict this weather will continue for several more years;(3) many new house are being built in the region. Close scrutiny this facts, however, reveal the recommend is based on a lot of unwarranted assumptions, and this renders the recommendation unconvinced.

First, the author assumes that the homes which use oil as the major fuel for heating will still use oil for a foreseeable future and they will choice CI oil. Perhaps there would be a new energy for heating such as solar and wind, and the new energy is much cheaper and more effective than oil ,there would be undoubtedly that the residents would chose the new energy. Even if the residents continue to use oil, how could the author ensure that they would choose CI oil, especially the residents has used other types of oil for many years and maybe have used to that.

Second, even if the resident would use the CI oil, the author further assumes that the weather will continue to be cold in latter years. Although the author gives the evidence that the climate forecasters have told this information, how could we judge this information is accurate, maybe this is the forecaster's deduction. Meanwhile even if the weather continues to be cold in the next several more years, the author can't convince me that in the unknown several more years the investment would be recovered and they would have a profit.

Third, the author supposes that many of houses will be built because they are a recent population growth in this region. But perhaps the population growth is owing to a flux of employer who will not settle in this region for a long time. Even if there are more house built here, how could the author guarantee that the new house would use oil for heating.

In sum, the recommendation is based on 3 unstated assumption, so it's unconvincing, In order to convince me, the author should ruling out other assumptions which would result the apparent facts and influence in recommendation. For assessing the recommendation I would need to know whether the resident would use oil for heating all the time and will they would prefer CI oil over other types of oil. And I also want to know would the weather really be cold in the next several years and what caused the growth of population.

第一次掐时间写argument，最后粘贴到word的时候，发现好多单词都拼错了，呜呜，不知道其他人有没有这个情况，是怎么克服的？
背北美范文，我觉得还是有用的，昨天背了一篇，今天写作文感觉快点了，不过还是需要继续再背的，因为写的时候还是感觉很生疏。
我的issue还没有开始，看别人的说法，好像issue比argument难很多呀，不过始终都要面对的，认真就好！6.16号就要考试了。
感谢熊给我的鼓励，我会好好加油的。

普渡哥 · 发表于 2012-5-22 05:41:23

喜欢作者的逻辑能力，作文就应该这样写

chatt · 发表于 2012-5-22 09:22:24

我7月初考，issue也还没开始，在练argument，也觉得任务很艰巨啊！加油！

wling0513 · 发表于 2012-5-22 09:51:28

喜欢作者的逻辑能力，作文就应该这样写

-- by 会员普渡哥 (2012/5/22 5:41:23)

谢谢普渡哥的鼓励，我还是觉得不是很成熟，在继续加油。你起得好早呀^^

wling0513 · 发表于 2012-5-22 09:52:52

我7月初考，issue也还没开始，在练argument，也觉得任务很艰巨啊！加油！

-- by 会员 chatt (2012/5/22 9:22:24)

嗯，加油，你比我晚半个月，时间还充足一点，我的issue也没有开始，昨天一位朋友送给我一句话说：“为了出国，怎样的努力都是值得的”也送给你^^

chatt · 发表于 2012-5-22 14:10:29

我7月初考，issue也还没开始，在练argument，也觉得任务很艰巨啊！加油！

-- by 会员 chatt (2012/5/22 9:22:24)

嗯，加油，你比我晚半个月，时间还充足一点，我的issue也没有开始，昨天一位朋友送给我一句话说：“为了出国，怎样的努力都是值得的”也送给你^^

-- by 会员 wling0513 (2012/5/22 9:52:52)

不过心里很慌啊，觉得很难！

wling0513 · 发表于 2012-5-22 18:38:39

5) The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
提纲：人口100，000能代表增长很多吗？如果不能怎么就能说明moped的量会由于人口增加而增加呢？
moped租赁限制导致了SI moped事故减少吗？
租赁限制也能给BI带来同样的效果吗？
In this letter the author recommends the town council of Balmer Island(BI) limiting the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 to 25 per day during the summer season. In order to support the recommendation the author cites the following facts in BI

1)the population has increases to 100,000 during the summer months;(2)the Seaville Island(SI)which has taken the same measures has attained 50% annual reduction in moped accidents .Close scrutiny the facts, however, reveals both of them would rend a credible support to the recommendation.
First, did BI's population raised rapidly? In this letter the author only tells us that the population increases to 100,000,but don't tell us the new population number. So it is quite possible that the population indeed has raised a little. Since there are no significant population raising, I would think maybe the moped rent number would not increase either. If so, the fact would undermine the effectiveness of this recommendation.
Second, SI's accidents reduction is owe to the moped rented limit? Perhaps it is just because that SI take gives secure education to the drivers. or they population happens to be lower in the moment due to a lot of tourist leaving SI, that result in the accident number to be low. Because there is no evidence on this, so the author couldn't make a sound recommendation on basis of this.
Third, even assuming the SI's measure on moped rented limit is the major reason that caused the accident decrease, the BI take the same measure can get the same result? It is possible that BI's quantity of moped rented is too low in summer months to rent 25 mopeds off, residents own the majority of mopeds, in this case the limit is useless. And perhaps SI's render is almost tourist who don't have moped in SI, and as a result the SI's measures is effective.
In sum, in order to convince me accepting the recommendation absolutely, the author, in minimum, need to answer to above question. And at the same time, to assess the recommendation, I also need to know the number of people who would rent mopeds in BI, and whether there is other measures taken in SI to reduce the accident.
感觉这一篇还不如上一篇好，还是打字问题，老是打错，后面都没有什么时间了，字数也很少……
明天看看能不能有方法提高打字速度，减少错误率。
亲，加油哦

HZhangJacky · 发表于 2013-3-15 17:17:15

作者如果是在规定时间的即兴发挥感觉写的相当不错，不过本人有一点小建议，认为作者的段落安排有点不恰当，应该在第一段指出forecaster报道的可信性，因为只有天气继续寒冷才会出现是否投资石油，所以天气应该是个大前提。

[argument] argument 60 +5求拍

argument 5

一点小建议

所属分类: GRE考试

正在浏览此版块的会员 ()

浏览过的版块