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进来的高手请指点一下,帮忙分析一下逻辑链

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楼主
发表于 2012-2-8 21:18:44 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
Smithtown University’s fund-raiserssucceeded in getting donations from 80 percent of the potential donors theycontacted.  This success rate,exceptionally high for university fund-raisers, does not indicate that theywere doing a good job.  On the contrary,since the people most likely to donate are those who have donated in the past,good fund-raisers constantly try less-likely prospects in an effort to expandthe donor base.  The high success rateshows insufficient canvassing effort.
         
Which of the following, if true, providesmore support for the argument?

  1. Smithtown University’s fund-raisers were successful in their     contacts with potential donors who had never given before about as     frequently as were fund-raisers for other universities in their contacts     with such people.
  2. This year the average size of the donations to Smithtown     University from new donors when the university’s fund-raisers had     contacted was larger than the average size of donations from donors who     had given to the university before.
  3. This year most of the donations that came to Smithtown     University from people who had previously donated to it were made without     the university’s fund-raisers having made any contact with the donors.
  4. The majority of the donations that fund-raisers succeeded in     getting for Smithtown University this year were from donors who had never     given to the university before.
  5. More than half of the money raised by Smithtown University’s     fund-raisers came from donors who had never previously donated to the     university.
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沙发
发表于 2012-2-8 21:57:10 | 只看该作者
选3。 题干的结论是The high success rate shows insufficient canvassing effort.  综合结论之前的条件,3正好能support the conclusion.
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2012-2-8 22:08:21 | 只看该作者
楼上的,不好意思,答案是第一个
地板
发表于 2012-2-8 22:52:09 | 只看该作者
C is out of scope because the stimulus focuses on the successful rate of 80% among the potential donors the fund-raisers CONTACTED.  Who cares about those the fund-raisers did not contact?  It has no impact on the argument.

On the other hand, A is a strengthener. In the stimulus, the premise says that “the people most likely to donate are those who have donated in the past.”  The author is building a case against the 80% successful rate as a bench mark for a job well-done.  Rather, the author accuses the fund-raisers with a not-so-good canvassing effort based on the 80% success rate, implying that they did not find NEW donors more efficiently than fund-raisers in other universities.  If A is true, then they were only as “successful in their contacts with potential donors who had never given before” as other universities. Thus, they must have concentrated on the people that have donated before in order to get the 80% success rate.
5#
发表于 2012-2-20 19:41:18 | 只看该作者
明白了~  谢谢sdcar 大牛!
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