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In preparation for a large-scale tree-planting project, Thomasville has recordedthe location, species, and condition of every tree in its downtown area. The results will be compared with results of the last such tree census, taken 20 years ago. Planting trees primarily from the species that turns out to have the best record of survival will assure downtown Thomasville of an abundant tree population 20 years from now.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the claim that the tree-planting proposal will assure an abundant tree population?

正确答案: E

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一道逻辑题求解释

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楼主
发表于 2013-4-17 08:44:01 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
In preparation for a large-scale tree-planting project, Thomasville has recorded the location, species, and condition of every tree in its downtown area. The results will be compared with results of the last such tree census, taken 20 years ago. Planting trees primarily from the species that turns out to have the best record of survival will assure downtown Thomasville of an abundant tree population 20 years from now. Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the claim that the tree-planting proposal will assure an abundant tree population?
A. Because of strict laws governing industrial development, environmental conditions in Thomasville are unlikely to become harsher for trees than they have been during the last 20 years.
B. Thomasville has reliable records to show which trees in existence 20 years ago were cut down to permit new construction downtown.
C. A number of trees from one of the species widespread in Thomasville 20 years ago reached the end of their natural life span in the intervening period.
D. Very few species of trees grow as well in urban conditions as in natural conditions.
E.  A city with a high proportion of any one species of trees can have its tree population devastated by one outbreak of a disease.
答案选E,求解答!
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沙发
 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-18 13:41:18 | 只看该作者
求解答啊!!!
板凳
发表于 2013-4-20 10:17:51 | 只看该作者
这是一道weaken the conclusion的题。
Premise: planting trees from species with best record of survival
Conclusion: tree-planting will assure an abundant tree population
Question: weaken the conclusion.

A. environmental conditions are unlikely to become harsher for trees (环境不会变得更恶劣) - support the conclusion (环境不会变得更恶劣,那么plan就很可能成功)
B. trees were cut down to permit new construction downtown - Irrelevant (与哪些树被砍倒无关)
C. A number of trees from one of the species reached their end of life span - Irrelevant. (一个树种的死亡不能削弱结论,不栽种这种树不就成了么)
D. Very few species of trees grow as well in urban conditions as in natural conditions - Irrelevant. (与这个树在哪个环境生长的无关,这里只考虑在downtown的情况,和natural condition比无意义)
E. a high proportion of any one species of trees can have its tree population devastated by one outbreak of a disease - Weaken. (如果根据以前的调查发现某个种类的树存活率高就去种那类树,但是如果当某类树在城市的比率过高,这类树就会在(树的)疾病发生时毁灭。所以就达不到结论说的要assure an abundant tree population).
地板
 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-22 05:59:39 | 只看该作者
主要还是没看懂题。。。。。。在看不懂题的情况下只知道答案应该跟tree population有关,但又觉得草率了,逻辑最怕的就是读不懂题,然后瞎蒙了!!!
谢谢了,好牛啊,学习学习!!!
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