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请教一道费费逻辑

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楼主
发表于 2008-7-15 08:54:00 | 只看该作者

请教一道费费逻辑

122. Photovoltaic power plants produce electricity from sunlight. As a result of astonishing recent technological advances, the cost of producing electric power at photovoltaic power plants, allowing for both construction and operating costs, it one-tenth of what it was 20 years ago, whereas the corresponding cost for traditional plants, which burn fossil fuels, has increased. Thus, photovoltaic power plants offer a less expensive approach to meeting demand for electricity than do traditional power plants.
  The conclusion of the argument is properly drawn it which one of the following is assumed?
  (A) the cost of producing electric power at traditional plants has increased over the past 20 years.
  (B) Twenty years ago, traditional power plants were producing 10 times more electric power than were photovoltaic plants.
  (C) None of the recent technological advances in producing electric power at photovoltaic plants can be applied to producing power at traditional plants.
  (D) Twenty years ago, the cost of producing electric power at photovoltaic plants was less than 10 times the cost of producing power at traditional plants.
  (E) The cost of producing electric power at photovoltaic plants is expected to decrease further, while the cost of producing power at traditional plants is not expected to decrease.
答案是D,但我觉得有问题

设photovoltaic power plant cost ,20年前为a, 现在为1/10a;traditional plant cost,20年前为b1, 现在为b2.那么这些关系可以表示成b2>b1, b2>1/10a,不能得出20年前a<10b1,应为如果traditional plant cost涨的很快,假设b2=2b1,即使a=11b1仍然可以得到1/10a=11/10b1<b2=2b1.

牛人赐教!

沙发
发表于 2008-7-17 07:17:00 | 只看该作者
不是N人,但是我是这么想的:论证过程正确,但是你可能把充分和必要条件搞错了。文章问的是“based on which assumption",说明(1)只要一个选项作为assumption,推出文章最后的结论正确就可以了;(2)不必要从文章的结论倒推出选项D成立与否。

我的论证如下:a, 十分之一a, b1, b2 都和你代表的参数一样。文章要推出的结论是:a<10*b2;选项D表达是: a<10*b1;由于b1<b2, 所以选项D可以推导出文章结论。

不知道说清楚了没有,随便看看啊。
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