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一道逻辑题始终不解,求助

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楼主
发表于 2008-3-21 22:36:00 | 只看该作者

一道逻辑题始终不解,求助

Q13:

In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years.  Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees, this decline is likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses.

 

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?

 

  1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state.

  2. The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years.

  3. There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees.

  4. The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.

       E.The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than it was ten years ago

谁可以帮忙分析一下这道题目?

想了很久,还是没有理解

沙发
发表于 2008-3-21 22:50:00 | 只看该作者

我一开始选的是A ,结果再想了一下,发现D更好

因为increased significantly, so 10年才下降3%并不会带来影响

拙见

板凳
发表于 2008-3-21 23:02:00 | 只看该作者
虽然retire to FL的人的比例小了,可是如果总量变大的话,retire to FL的人的绝对数还是会增大的,这就weaken了原文的argument
地板
 楼主| 发表于 2008-3-22 00:24:00 | 只看该作者

可是D选项并没有说RETIRE到哪个州阿?

有没有可能是FL的人RETIRE到其他的州呢?

这样不会WEAKEN 原文的ARGUMENT了

5#
发表于 2008-3-22 01:01:00 | 只看该作者
跟FL retire到其他州的人没有关系

A=the people who moved from one state to another when they retired
B=the people
who retired to Florida

原文说,B/A(说得只是percentage,比例的问题)下降了,所以影响FL经济,问weaken

D说,A的总量变大了。所以,也就是说,B/A下降,但是A变大significantly,所以B的也很有可能变大,那么对经济就不会有negative effect。

其实只不过是个数学问题而已。
6#
 楼主| 发表于 2008-3-22 02:46:00 | 只看该作者

哇。。。

问了很多同学,都无解。。。

这下是豁然开朗了。。。

谢谢你

7#
发表于 2008-3-22 04:41:00 | 只看该作者
通常有比例出现,就需要考虑绝对数值。这其实也是AA里反驳涉及统计的论据的一种方法。
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