救命啊,完全不懂这道题

123. Codex Berinensis, a Florentine copy of an ancient Roman medical treatise, is undated but contains clues to when it was produced. Its first 80 pages are by a single copyist, but the remaining 20 pages are by three different copyists, which indicates some significant disruption. Since a letter in handwriting identified as that of the fourth copyist. mentions a plague that killed many people in Florence in 1148, Codex Berinensis was probably produced in that year.

Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the hypothesis that Codex Berinensis was produced in 1148?

(A)      Other than Codex Berinensis, there are no known samples of the handwriting of the first three copyists.

(B)      According to the account by the fourth copyist, the plague went on for 10 months.

(C)     A scribe would be able to copy a page of text the size and style of Codex Berinensis in a day.

(D)     There was only one outbreak of plague in Florence in the 1100's.

(E)      The number of pages of Codex Berinensis produced by a single scribe becomes smaller with each successive change of copyist.

Argument Evaluation

Situation The Florentine copy of an ancient Roman work is undated but provides clues as to the time it was produced. The first 80 pages of Codex Berinenis are the work of one copyist. The fact that the last 20 pages are the work of a succession of three different copyists is an indication of serious turmoil at the time the copying was done. Since a letter in the fourth copyist's

handwriting reveals that a plague killed many people there in 1148, Codex Berinenis was probably produced in that year.

Reasoning Which information supports the hypothesis dating the Codex to 1148? Consider the basis of the hypothesis: the succession of copyists indicating the work was significantly disrupted, and the
            fourth copyist's letter indicating the plague of 1148 caused serious loss of life. From this it is
            argued that the plague of 1148 was the reason for the multiple copyists and that the work can
            thus be dated to that year. What if there were multiple plagues? In that case, Codex Berinensis
            could have been produced at another time. If instead only one plague occurred in the 1100's, the elimination of that possibility supports the hypothesis that the work was done in 1148.

如题.完全没看懂.瘟疫发生在1148年就能推出COPY完成与1148年吗?而且,如果有很多瘟疫又关结论什么事??

等待牛魔王.西西

典型的关联题

A事物含有C特性，B事物含有C特性

问A是否拥有D特性，考点一定是从B入手，否则文章就不必提到B事物了。

选项D中提到只有一场瘟疫爆发在哪个年代。相对于一个世纪爆发多场瘟疫而言，仅爆发一场瘟疫让那份letter出产时间的准确性更有说服力。当然你可以反驳仅一场瘟疫爆发于1100's并不能确定letter出产于1148，但是你无法反驳这种可能性提高了！~

选项就是通过提高事物发生的可能性来支持答案！

浅薄见解