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Manhattan的一个逻辑题求解释 breast cancer

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楼主
发表于 2013-6-17 17:41:53 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
Genetics
Two genes, BRCAl and BRCA2, are linked to hereditary breast cancer. Therefore,
in order to decrease the annual number of mammogram tests administered across a
population and to more accurately assess a woman's individual risk of breast cancer,
all women should be tested for these genes.
Which of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?
(A) Some of the women who are tested for the two genes will subsequently undergo
mammograms on a less frequent basis than they used to.
(B) The majority of breast cancer patients have no family history of the disease.
(C) Researchers may have identified a third breast cancer gene that is linked with
hereditary breast cancer.
(D) Women who have these genes have an 80 percent chance of getting breast cancer,
while women who do not have these genes have only a lO percent chance
of getting breast cancer.
(E) The presence of BRCAl and BRCA2 can explain up to 50 percent of hereditary
cases.
The correctanswer choice establishesthe FEASIBILITY OF A PREMISE.
This argument states that BRCAl and BRCA2 are connected to hereditary breast cancer. It then
concludes that all women should be tested for these genes in order to reduce the number of mammograms
given annually and to more accurately determine their individual risk of breast cancer.
This argument depends on the assumption that BRCAl and BRCA2 are the primary genes that
cause hereditary breast cancer, and also that at least some of the women who are tested will, in
some way, reduce the frequency at which they undergo mammograms.
(A) CORRECf. As stated above, the author's position hinges on the assumption that at least some
women will undergo fewer mammograms after being tested for the breast cancer-causing genes.
(B) It is not necessary to the argument that the majority of breast cancer patients have no family
history of the disease. If anything, this choice could weaken the argument by implying that perhaps
too few women carry the genes to make the testing worthwhile.
9r1.anliattanG MAT'Prep
the new standard
IN ACTION ANSWER lillY FIND THE ASSUMPTION SOLUTIONS Chapter 4
(C) The possible identification of a third breast cancer gene th,at is linked to hereditary breast cancer
is irrelevant to this argument. The conclusion concerns testing for the two' identified genes;
the third gene is not part of the equation.
(D)While these statistics given might provide a strong incentive to encourage women to be tested,
the given conclusion does not address whether the women win get breast cancer or even what
they should do if they do have the genes. Rather, the conclusion asserts that aUwomen should
merely be tested for the two reasons given in the argument.
(E) This choice is an example of "switching terms." The two genes can explain up t050% of hereditary
cases. What portion of&L cases is made up of hereditary cases? That information is not
given. If hereditary cases make up' 99% of all cases, then this' choice might support the idea that
being tested for the two genes would allow women to more accurately determine their risk. If
hereditary cases make up 1% of an cases, then this choice would not support the idea that
being tested for the two genes would allow women to more accurately determine risk. The
choice is trying to muddle the issue by switching terms in an effort to get us to conclude something
we cannot actually conclude.



理解不了A 啊,哪位大神来给解释解释啊。。。。谢谢啦
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沙发
发表于 2013-6-17 23:37:34 | 只看该作者
我是这样子思考的:
方案的目的是:减少全国乳房X线照片的数量;减低妇女患乳癌的风险
方案:所有妇女都应该测试这个两种基因

为了要说明方案是可以达到goal的(即方案的执行是可以帮助减少全国乳房X线照片的数量和减低妇女患乳癌的风险的),那么应该要找可以证明方案可行性的选项。
A选项就说明了方案的执行可以使得女性照乳房X线片的频率减少,减少了X照片的数量,从而完成了目标。

不知道楼主选了什么选项呢?
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-18 17:34:16 | 只看该作者
谢谢啊,有点明白了,一开始选的D, 但是后来认为也不对。。。
地板
发表于 2013-8-19 11:19:30 | 只看该作者
RichardJing 发表于 2013-6-18 17:34
谢谢啊,有点明白了,一开始选的D, 但是后来认为也不对。。。

请问这个D怎么错了呢?怎么也想不通~求指点~
5#
 楼主| 发表于 2013-8-19 22:38:43 | 只看该作者
jessica_luyao 发表于 2013-8-19 11:19
请问这个D怎么错了呢?怎么也想不通~求指点~

(D)While these statistics given might provide a strong incentive to encourage women to be tested,
the given conclusion does not address whether the women win get breast cancer or even what
they should do if they do have the genes. Rather, the conclusion asserts that a women should
merely be tested for the two reasons given in the argument.
个人意见:D选项.本身rest on an assumption that this incentive will drive all the women to get themselves tested for breast cancer. 而我们知道,在CR里面,不能有多余的assumption。 而A 选项直接的给出了这个plan的可行性。还有要紧扣文章主题。。。
                     
6#
发表于 2013-8-20 00:41:18 | 只看该作者
RichardJing 发表于 2013-8-19 22:38
(D)While these statistics given might provide a strong incentive to encourage women to be tested,
...

多谢大牛!!!
7#
 楼主| 发表于 2013-8-21 09:40:18 | 只看该作者
jessica_luyao 发表于 2013-8-20 00:41
多谢大牛!!!

我也希望我是牛。。。。。我也是苦逼的考G小青年。。。。加油加油
8#
发表于 2013-8-21 16:34:11 | 只看该作者
RichardJing 发表于 2013-8-21 09:40
我也希望我是牛。。。。。我也是苦逼的考G小青年。。。。加油加油

加油加油~
9#
发表于 2015-9-2 23:43:54 | 只看该作者
挖坟。。我这题也很纠结,写一下自己对D的理解。。
问题是which of the following the argument depends 。再来看D选项,D说有这种基因的女人有百分之八十的可能性得乳腺癌,而没这种基因的只有百分之10.
问题是argument一定要在这么精确的数字上才能成立吗?解释说70和90都没有关系,所以这种假设(精确的数字80)并不是argument成立的条件。
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