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CR 求指导思路

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楼主
发表于 2012-9-3 11:00:24 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
In the years following an eight-percent increase in the federal tax on a pack of cigarettes, sales of cigarettes fell ten percent. In contrast, in the year prior to the tax increase, sales had fallen one percent. The volume of cigarette sales is therefore strongly related to the after-tax price of a pack of cigarettes.

The argument above requires which of the following assumptions?

A.During the year following the tax increase, the pretax price of a pack of cigarettes did not increase by as much as it had during the year prior to the tax increase.
B.The one percent fall in cigarette sales in the year prior to tax increases was due to a smaller tax increase.
C.The pretax price of a pack of cigarettes gradually decreased throughout the year before and the year after the tax increase.
D.For the year following the tax increase, the pretax price of a pack of cigarettes was not eight or more percents lower than it had been the previous year.
E.As the after-tax price of a pack of cigarettes rises, the pretax price also rises.
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沙发
发表于 2012-9-26 20:21:25 | 只看该作者
题干分析:说税涨了8%,烟销量降了10%.而税涨前,烟销量降了1%.结论:香烟销量与税后烟价密切相关.问加强
选项:
A.若第2 年销量大涨,可能是其他原因.未提到税后烟价.
B.消费者得到的吸烟对于健康危害的信息在增加税前,税后没有改变。改变的只有香烟的价格,所以是价格影
响sales。这是典型的他因排除来加强.
C.消费者不知道税的增加。但这个税后烟价是实实在在涨了,消费者以为是税涨或者是烟涨,都不影响结论.
D.香烟价格增加,通货膨胀,人们收入减少。这可能是销量下降的一个原因,削弱了是因为税后烟价上涨这个原
因.
E. 香烟种类增加,和题目无关,排除.
选 B
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