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LSAT-15-2-24,LSAT-15-2-25

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楼主
发表于 2003-5-16 19:11:00 | 只看该作者

LSAT-15-2-24,LSAT-15-2-25

[face=Georgia]24. Between 1951 and 1963, it was illegal in the country of Geronia to manufacture, sell, or transport any alcoholic beverages. Despite this prohibition, however, the death rate form diseases during the first five years of the period than it was during the five years prior to 1951. Therefore, the attempt to prevent alcohol use merely make people want and use alcohol more than they would have it had not been forbidden.

Each of the following, if true, weakens the argument EXCEPT:

(A) Death form an alcohol-related disease generally does not occur until five to ten years after the onset of excessive alcohol consumption.

(B) The diseases that can be caused by excessive alcohol consumption can also be caused by other kinds of behavior that increased between 1951 and 1963.

(C) The death rate resulting from alcohol-related diseases increase just as sharply during the ten years before and the ten years after the prohibition of alcohol as it did during the years of prohibition.

(D) Many who died of alcohol-related diseases between 1951 and 1963 consumed illegally imported alcoholic beverages produced by the same methods as those used within Geronia.

(E) Between 1951 and 1963, among the people with preexisting alcohol-related diseases, the percentage who obtained lifesaving medical attention declined because of a social stigma attached to excessive alcohol consumption.

答案是D,E是如何削弱的?



25. A letter submitted to the editor of a national newsmagazine was written and signed by a Dr. Shirley Martin who, in the text of the letter, mentions being a professor at a major North American medical school. Knowing that fewer than 5 percent of the professors at such schools are women, the editor reasons that the chances are better than 19 to 1 that the letter was written by a man.

Which one of the following involves flawed reasoning most like that used by the editor?

(A) Since 19 out of 20 home computers are purchased primarily for use with computer games, and the first computer sold today was purchased solely for word processing, the next 19 computers sold will almost certainly be used primarily for computer games.

(B) Fewer than 1 in 20 of the manuscripts submitted to Argon Publishing Vo. Are accepted for publication. Since only 15 manuscripts were submitted last week, there is almost no chance that any of them will be accepted for publication.

(C) Fewer that 5 percent of last year's graduating class took Latin in secondary school. Howard took Latin in secondary school, so if he had graduated last year, it is likely that one or the other Latin scholars would not have graduated.

(D) More that 95 percent of the planes built by UBC last year met government standards for large airliners. Since small planes account for just under 5 percent of UBC抯 output last year, it is almost certain that all their large planes met government standards.

(E) Since more than 19 out of every 20 animals in the wildlife preserve are mammals and fewer than 1 out of 20 are birds, there is a greater than 95 percent chance that the animal Emily saw flying between two trees in the wildlife refuge yesterday morning was a mammal.

这个题目的原文的黑体没有读懂?请问从原文提取了什么信息来分辨这些长相都差不多的选项?[/face]
沙发
发表于 2003-5-16 22:01:00 | 只看该作者
25.黑体字的意思就是说从<5%是女性-->是男性写的可能性是女的19倍(由95:5得出)
本文的逻辑错误就在于只是从一个泛指的比例直接推出某一个单个事件的可能性。
从五个选项中我们可以看到,E选项最符合这个状况!
我对于排除其他几个选项的心得是看每个选项从事件1-->事件2,事件1与事件2的关系,在原题中两者的关系不是很明确,事件1是一所指定的学校,事件2的概率是泛指的学校。
选项A,B,C,D事件1和事件2都是同一回事,不存在泛指与特指的关系,只有E选项是从一个泛指的推出一个特指的关系。
因此答案应该是E

板凳
发表于 2003-5-16 22:07:00 | 只看该作者
24题,E的削弱作用在于由于medical attention比以前少了,所以以前患有此病的人1951年以后死亡导致1951年以后的死亡率就上升了,这样的话就可以削弱文中的说法,因为不是政府的措施不好而是别的原因导致死亡率上升
地板
发表于 2003-5-16 23:18:00 | 只看该作者
补充第25题:

如果没有给出名字的话, 原文中的推断我认为没有错. 但是Shirley是女人的名字. 明明是个女的, 还说有可能是个男的,就犯了和E中相同的错误,明明是个鸟, 还说是非鸟(mammal).
5#
发表于 2003-5-28 14:29:00 | 只看该作者
24题其实就是说人死了是因为医生不救治的原因。是用它因来削弱。
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