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fogwind 发表于 2009-2-4 17:53
1.To avoid a hostile takeover attempt, the board of directors of Wellco, Inc., a provider of life an ...
1
Spot the question type: support the argument
Apparently, the conclusion is the last sentence: The diversification would strengthen the corp ---> varying the sources and schedule of its annual revenues
Promises:
1.
No hostile takeover attempt ---> Wellco planned to take out large loans + purchase pc + cf + mt ---> plunge corp into debt ---> unattractive to whom wants to take it over.
Attractive ---> No plunge into debt ---> no take out large loans ---> Hostile take over ( Contrapositive )
2.
Steadily rising insurance rates ---> pay off the debt within 5 years
3.
Revenues from 3 new businesses ---> meet operating expenses --- > varying the sources and schedule of its annual process.
Well apparently, the fastest way here are to exclude the possibilities of " not be able pay off debit within 5 years " and " not be able for the revenues of the whole corp to meet the business expanses " and to eliminate the possibilities that the overall debt would not be unattractive enough for whom wants to take over.
Anyway, let us look into the answers.
A. from the answer A, we only know that there are possibilities that the revenue from cf might increased, but not necessary. Meanwhile, cf is just one of 3 new business, and it would be too arbitrary to assume that by the increased revenue of a single small business, we can conclude that " overall " revenue would be growing.
B. Just as we anticipated, if B is true, then we know that there are possibilities that it won't payoff the debit within 5 years ( It is actually weaken answer )
C. Great correct answer. If being illegal ---> parents not to carry the insurance coverage for their children.
Which is to say, we can reasonably to assume that within the next 5 years, the members of the insurance must be higher than now, and if that's the case, it did strengthen the sufficiency of premises 2.
D. Just as answer A, even we can just eliminate right away based on what we discussed above that we are eliminating the possibilities of overall revenues can't meet the operating expenses.
E. Just as answer A, eliminate it.
SO !!!!!
我們被考了什麼?
1. 必要假設的取非來刪除選項 ( B)
2. 充分條件的充分與否來刪除選項 (ADE)=> 有總公司以及其他三個小公司, 總共四個公司的盈利以及利潤不能夠被其中一個公司盈利的低高給一言敝之
3. 加強充分條件的發生機率 ( C) |
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