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求解几题!

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11#
发表于 2019-8-16 09:48:10 | 只看该作者
看一下!               
12#
发表于 2019-8-17 22:31:06 | 只看该作者
fogwind 发表于 2009-2-4 17:53
1.To avoid a hostile takeover attempt, the board of directors of Wellco, Inc., a provider of life an ...

1

Spot the question type: support the argument

Apparently, the conclusion is the last sentence: The diversification would strengthen the corp ---> varying the sources and schedule of its annual revenues

Promises:

1.

No hostile takeover attempt ---> Wellco planned to take out large loans + purchase pc + cf + mt ---> plunge corp into debt ---> unattractive to whom wants to take it over.

Attractive ---> No plunge into debt ---> no take out large loans ---> Hostile take over ( Contrapositive )

2.

Steadily rising insurance rates ---> pay off the debt within 5 years

3.

Revenues from 3 new businesses ---> meet operating expenses --- > varying the sources and schedule of its annual process.


Well apparently, the fastest way here are to exclude the possibilities of " not be able pay off debit within 5 years " and " not be able for the revenues of the whole corp to meet the business expanses " and to eliminate the possibilities that the overall debt would not be unattractive enough for whom wants to take over.

Anyway, let us look into the answers.

A. from the answer A, we only know that there are possibilities that the revenue from cf might increased, but not necessary. Meanwhile, cf is just one of 3 new business, and it would be too arbitrary to assume that by the increased revenue of a single small business, we can conclude that " overall " revenue would be growing.

B. Just as we anticipated, if B is true, then we know that there are possibilities that it won't payoff the debit within 5 years ( It is actually weaken answer )

C. Great correct answer.  If being illegal ---> parents not to carry the insurance coverage for their children.

Which is to say, we can reasonably to assume that within the next 5 years, the members of the insurance must be higher than now, and if that's the case, it did strengthen the sufficiency of premises 2.

D. Just as answer A, even we can just eliminate right away based on what we discussed above that we are eliminating the possibilities of overall revenues can't meet the operating expenses.

E. Just as answer A, eliminate it.


SO !!!!!

我們被考了什麼?

1. 必要假設的取非來刪除選項 ( B)
2. 充分條件的充分與否來刪除選項 (ADE)=> 有總公司以及其他三個小公司, 總共四個公司的盈利以及利潤不能夠被其中一個公司盈利的低高給一言敝之

3. 加強充分條件的發生機率 ( C)
13#
发表于 2019-8-17 22:45:04 | 只看该作者
lilyxiang910 发表于 2009-2-3 22:57
真不知道为什么后面几题又出现一遍,希望各位能帮我解答一下上面五题,要考了,逻辑题心里真是严重没底啊! ...

2.

Spot the question type: Weaken

Core of the argument:

*很明顯了, 作者又要用相關性來騙你因果了

Because the revenue ( Attending the seminar ) < revenue ( not attend ), so seminars are ill conceived and waste of money.

必須說, 如果此因果的發生必然為真, 那什麼必然為真?  1. 沒有其他變因影響revenue 2. 此相關性必定全世界宇宙毫無特例, 有完美代表性.

所以, 腦袋想好, 怎麼找答案?  1. 其實是有其他變因影響revenue 2. 相關性不完美

A. 其實這個選項很賤, 有點玩弄文字遊戲。怎麼說呢 ? 如果在一九八七年之前最高銷售額的吸塵器公司是唯一的公司沒派員工去聽講座的公司, 那就代表這個公司在一九八七年之後必然不是“最高銷售額的吸塵器公司”, 而如果不是最高銷售額的吸塵器公司, 那其銷售額的下跌必然為真, 如為真, 那就代表, 必然有一種機率的存在, 而這個機率為另外一種原因的發生使得其公司的利潤下跌, 如此機率存在必然為真, 那相關性就不必然完美。

B. 支持

C. 跟費用無關

D. 其實這個選項想要用“他因削弱騙你” , 但是他跟原文的論證根本毫無關係

E. 總銷售上升能夠代表什麼? none
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