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Historian: In the Drindian Empire, censuses were conducted annually to determine the population of each village. Village census records for the last half of the 1600's are remarkably complete. This very completeness makes one point stand out; in five different years, villages overwhelmingly reported significant population declines. Tellingly, each of those five years immediately followed an increase in a certain Drindian tax. This tax, which was assessed on villages, was computed by the central government using the annual census figures. Obviously, whenever the tax went up, villages had an especially powerful economic incentive to minimize the number of people they recorded; and concealing the size of a village's population from government census takers would have been easy. Therefore, it is reasonable to think that the reported declines did not happen.

In the historian's argument, the two portions in boldface play which of the following roles?

正确答案: C

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发表于 2010-7-24 10:51:08 | 显示全部楼层
第一个BF是一个总前提(context),因为统计是complete,所以我们才会对统计的结果进行分析。如果统计不完整,那么我们分析这个统计就没有意义了。下面第一个BF和第二个BF之间的内容是分析及推理过程。第一个BF并不是支持第二个,而是一个大前提
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