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The following recommendation was made by the president and administrative staff of
Grove College , a private institution, to the college's governing committee.
"Recently, there have been discussions about ending Grove College 's century-old tradition of all-female education by admitting male students into our programs. At a
recent faculty meeting, a majority of faculty members voted in favor of coeducation,
arguing that it would encourage more students to apply to Grove. However, Grove
students, both past and present, are against the idea of coeducation. Eighty percent of
the students responding to a survey conducted by the student government wanted the
school to remain all female, and over half of the alumnae who answered a separate
survey also opposed coeducation. Therefore, we recommend maintaining Grove
College's tradition of all-female education. We predict that keeping the college
all-female will improve morale among students and convince alumnae to keep
supporting the college financially."
In this argument, the arguer concludes that keeping the college all-female will improve morale among students and convince alumnae to keep supporting the college financially. To justify this conclusion, the arguer points out that both past and present students in Grove are against the coeducation and over half of the alumnae who answered the survey are against it too. This argument seems logical at first glance, but includes some critical fallacies.
First of all, the arguer fails to give reasons to the prediction that students' morale will improve through keeping the college all-female. All the evidences the arguer states above are some surveys among faculty members, Grove students, and alumnae. The responses of them are statistics which are relative to the tendency of the structure of gender of students. Therefore, the tendency of development of students' morale seems not clear, and not to mention to improve it.
In addition, the number of responses among these surveys are not clear enough to represent the whole groups. For example, although eighty percent students responding to a survey wanted the school to remain all female, the proportion of students who respond the survey is not given. Same situation happens in the survey of the alumnae and faculty members. Therefore, maybe it is presumptuous to conclude that it is better to keep the college all-female.
What's more, how about the result comes from the survey of faculty members of Gove College ? The arguer seems to omit them. Are their opinions not important? If so, why make a survey to them? No explain about the influence and significance of the result of survey among faculty members makes to other groups. So the conclusion may be a hasty generalization.
To sum up, although the reasoning behind the conclusion is seemly logical, the conclusion mentioned above is not based on valid evidences and sound reasoning. In order to improve the quality of the argument, it is better that more accurate and convincing statistics and their relationships among the groups—students, faculty,are expounded.
(My this article seems not fully developed,how to develop it?)
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