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前两题
见LSLSLS-- by 会员 gaowei1988 (2011/4/5 2:17:34)
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第一题开放啊,自圆其说就好 第二题借前人帖子一用 found online
Let a = expected number of throws to first head.
We must make 1 throw at least and we haveprobability 1/2 of a head and probability 1/2 of returning to a, so
a = (1/2)1 + (1/2)(1 + a)
(1/2)a = 1
a = 2.
Let E = expected number of throws to 2 consecutiveheads.
Consider that we have just thrown a head and whathappens on the next throw. We are dealing with the (a + 1)ththrow, with probability 1/2 this is not a head and we return to E.
So E = (1/2)(a + 1) + (1/2)(a + 1 + E)
(1/2)E = a + 1
E = 2(a + 1)
and now putting in the value a = 2 we get E= 2(3) = 6
Expected throws to 2 consecutive heads is 6.
-- by 会员 doladd (2011/4/5 2:18:19) [/quote] |