第一篇 Argument 求狠拍

fightingjun12

The following appearedas a letter to the editor from a Central Plaza store owner.
"Over the pasttwo years, the number of shoppers in Central Plaza has been steadily decreasingwhile the popularity of skateboarding has increased dramatically. Many CentralPlaza store owners believe that the decrease in their business is due to thenumber of skateboard users in the plaza. There has also been a dramaticincrease in the amount of litter and vandalism throughout the plaza. Thus, werecommend that the city prohibit skateboarding in Central Plaza. Ifskateboarding is prohibited here, we predict that business in Central Plazawill return to its previously high levels."
Write a response inwhich you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decidewhether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure toexplain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate therecommendation.

In this argument the arguer comesto the conclusion that it is recommended to prohibit skateboarding in CentralPlaza. To justify the conclusion, the author points out that the decrease inthe business of Central Plaza store owners is due to the number of skateboardusers in the plaza. The author also points out that there has also been adramatic increase in the amount of litter and vandalism throughout the plaza. Theevidence presented by the argument support the conclusion seemingly at firstglance. Yet close scrutiny of this argument reveals that it is unconvincing inseveral aspects.
To begin with, even though thenumber of shoppers in the Central Plaza has been steadily decreasing while thepopularity of skateboarding has increased dramatically, the argument unfairlyclaims that the decrease in business is the result of the increasing number ofskateboarders, rather than some other phenomenon such as that people spend lesson shopping because of economic crisis, which renders the inference based on ithighly suspect.
In addition, the author fails totake into other factors for the dramatically increasing amount of litter andvandalism. It might be sure that the increasing skateboard users can bringlitter and vandalism to the Central Plaza. Yet there are also a lot of storeworkers in the Central Plaza who might bring much litter and vandalism and notbe that careful about the public environment since the business is low. Moreover,even if skateboarding were prohibited and the business went back to highlevels, there is no guarantees that the amount of litter and vandalism wouldreduce under a big number of shoppers.
Finally, the author unfairlyclaims that if skateboarding is prohibited here, the business in Central Plazais predicted to return to its previously high levels. Even if that the authortends to assume that shoppers will come back to the Central Plaza afterprohibition of skateboarding. Yet the arguer fails to prove this poorassumption. It is quite possible that people used to shopping in Central Plaza alreadyhave their new favorite shipping malls instead of coming back shopping after prohibitingskateboarding.  
In sum, the conclusion reached inthe argument is invalid and misleading. To make it logically acceptable, theauthor should have to conduct a survey to the customers upon why they don’t goshopping as often as before. Moreover, I would suspend my judgment about thecredibility of this argument until the arguer can provide more informationabout whether the customers will come back shopping and whether it is theskateboard users who produce the increasing litter and vandalism in CentralPlaza.

竹林中人

需要对instruction做一定的回应，这个工作必须有，虽然你只要在文章改变一些表述方式

普渡哥

In this argument the arguer comes to the conclusion that it is recommended to prohibit skateboarding in CentralPlaza.

这句话什么意思？sorry,楼主能不能给分析一下句子结构？尤其是that 后面的那部分。