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77. (25) The following recommendation appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of Hopewell.
"Two years ago, the nearby town of Ocean View built a new municipal golf course and resort hotel. During the past two years, tourism in Ocean View has increased, new businesses have opened there, and Ocean View's tax revenues have risen by 30 percent. Therefore, the best way to improve Hopewell's economy—and generate additional tax revenues—is to build a golf course and resort hotel similar to those in Ocean View."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
In the argument,the author sugguests that the best way to improve Hopewell's economy and generate additional tax revenues shouldbe to build a golf course and a resort hotel.The argument seems logical at first glance,however,itcontains alot of assumptions that are unstated or unwarranted.Unless the author could provide more information to support his contention,the argument is poorly supported.
First,the author assumes that the improvement in Ocean View's tax revenue and new business booming is due directly to the buliding of the golf course and the resort hotel.However,the author fails to consider that they may be not related or not directly related.There exists a posibility that a new political policy has taken place there,and due to the new policy,business began to booming here,and thus tax revenue has risen.Since woe don't know more information about the Ocean View from the argument to solidify the assumption,it can't beso simple to conclude that the economy improvement in Ocean View has something to do with the buliding of the golf course and the resort hotel.
Even if Ocean View's improvement is largely due to the buliding of the golf course and the resort hotel,the author fails to consider that Hopewell's condition may not be comparable with Ocean View.Because we don't know what kind of town Hopewell is belong.Perhaps Hopewell is not a resort and its economy do not rely on tourism,so even the golf course and the resort hotel are wonderful.It will not attract more tourist to the town for there's no good sence and the resort scenery.Only by good and lavish hotels and golf coursesare not enough,for there's a lot of things other than hotels and golf courses that relate to a resort.
In addition ,the author just ignore that the financial situation of the town.even if building golf course and the resort hotel will improve economy,the budget must be considered carefully.If the financial situation there doesn't permit the project,Or the economy there can not afford building a lavish buliding,the recommendation is not advisable.If Hopewell's residents are not living well in the town and economy situation in that town is tight,To use alot of money to bulid a deluxe building is not a smart choice.
To sum up,the seemingly logical argument is not so strong after examining.several unwarranted assumption are there to vitiate the solidity.If the author can provide more information of some details about the article that support that contention,the recommendation can be much more persuasive and convincing.
In the argument,the author sugguests that the best way to improve Hopewell's economy and generate additional tax revenues shouldbe to build a golf course and a resort hotel.The argument seems logical at first glance,however,itcontains alot of assumptions that are unstated or unwarranted.Unless the author could provide more information to support his contention,the argument is poorly supported.
First,the author assumes that the improvement in Ocean View's tax revenue and new business booming is due directly to the buliding of the golf course and the resort hotel.However,the author fails to consider that they may be not related or not directly related.There exists a posibility that a new political policy has taken place there,and due to the new policy,business began to booming here,and thus tax revenue has risen.Since woe don't know more information about the Ocean View from the argument to solidify the assumption,it can't beso simple to conclude that the economy improvement in Ocean View has something to do with the buliding of the golf course and the resort hotel.
Even if Ocean View's improvement is largely due to the buliding of the golf course and the resort hotel,the author fails to consider that Hopewell's condition may not be comparable with Ocean View.Because we don't know what kind of town Hopewell is belong.Perhaps Hopewell is not a resort and its economy do not rely on tourism,so even the golf course and the resort hotel are wonderful.It will not attract more tourist to the town for there's no good sence and the resort scenery.Only by good and lavish hotels and golf coursesare not enough,for there's a lot of things other than hotels and golf courses that relate to a resort.
In addition ,the author just ignore that the financial situation of the town.even if building golf course and the resort hotel will improve economy,the budget must be considered carefully.If the financial situation there doesn't permit the project,Or the economy there can not afford building a lavish buliding,the recommendation is not advisable.If Hopewell's residents are not living well in the town and economy situation in that town is tight,To use alot of money to bulid a deluxe building is not a smart choice.
To sum up,the seemingly logical argument is not so strong after examining.several unwarranted assumption are there to vitiate the solidity.If the author can provide more information of some details about the article that support that contention,the recommendation can be much more persuasive and convincing.
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发表于 2012-11-15 22:11:35
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