LSAT猜题妙决-do not guess randomly!

From Powerscore:

Guessing Strategy and Probability Tables

Do not guess randomly!

Because the LSAT does not assess a scoring penalty for incorrect answer choices, you should always guess on every question that you cannot complete during the allotted time. However, because some answer choices are more likely to occur than others, you should not guess randomly. The following tables summarize which answer choices have occurred most frequently over the years.

LSAT Answer Choice Probabilities
		A#	A%		B#	B%		C#	C%		D#	D%		E#	E%		Total #
LR		434	18.3%		492	20.8%		483	20.4%		512	21.6%		445	18.8%		2366
RC		245	19.4%		263	20.8%		251	19.9%		278	22.0%		227	18.0%		1264
LG		215	19.3%		228	20.4%		219	19.6%		230	20.6%		224	20.1%		1116
Total		894	18.8%		983	20.7%		953	20.1%		1020	21.5%		896	18.9%		4746
All Answer Choices June 1991 - June 2004*

The table above documents the percentage each answer choice appeared as a percentage of all LSAT answer choices between June 1991 and June 2004 inclusive. If history holds, when guessing on the LSAT, in all sections you would be best served by always guessing answer choice (D). Do not choose random answer choices; do not put in a pattern such as A-B-C-D-E etcetera. Although guessing answer choice (D) does not guarantee you will get the questions correct, if history is an indicator then guessing answer choice (D) gives you a better chance than guessing randomly.

Last Five Answer Choices Per Section June 1991 - June 2004*
		A#	A%		B#	B%		C#	C%		D#	D%		E#	E%		T#
LR		70	14.9%		90	19.15%		86	18.3%		114	24.3%		110	23.4%		470
RC		43	18.3%		50	21.3%		45	19.1%		54	23.0%		43	18.3%		235
LG		58	24.7%		46	19.6%		41	17.4%		46	19.6%		44	18.7%		235
Total		171	18.2%		186	19.8%		172	18.3%		214	22.8%		197	21.0%		940
*These statistics do not include the unreleased February 1998, February 1999, February 2001, February 2002, February 2003, and February 2004 LSAT administrations.

As the second table indicates, if you cannot finish the final questions in a section, in the Logical Reasoning section you should always guess answer choice (D). In the Reading Comprehension section you should always guess answer choice (D), and in the Logic Games section you should guess (A).

Please keep in mind that the strategies discussed above hold only for pure guessing. If you are attempting to choose between two answer choices, do not choose on the basis of statistics alone!

On a related note, if you are a strong test taker who correctly answers most questions but occasionally does not finish a section, quickly review the answer choices you have previously selected and use the answer that appears least as your guessing answer choice. For example, if you have completed twenty questions in a section, and your answer sheet contains a majority of (A)’s, (B)’s, (C)’s, and (E)’s, guess answer choice (D) for all of the remaining questions.

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