LSAT-5-4-21(CHELSEA更正标题格式)

21. Leona: If the average consumption of eggs in the United States were cut in half, an estimated 5,000 lives might be saved each year.

Thomas: How can that be? That would mean that if people adopt this single change in diet for ten years, the population ten years from now will be greater by 50,000 people than it otherwise would have been.

Which one of the following is a statement that Leona could offer Thomas to clarify her own claim and to address the point he has made?

(A) It is possible for the population to grow by 5,000 people for every year if the base year chosen for purposes of comparison is one with unusually low population growth.

(B) It is accurate to say that 5,000 lives have been saved as long as 5,000 people who would have died in a given year as a result of not changing their diet, did not do so–even if they died for some other reason.

(C) If egg consumption were reduced by more than half, the estimated number of lives saved each year could be even more than 5,000.

(D) The actual rate of population growth depends not only on the birth rate, but also on changes in life expectancy.

(E) For the average consumption of eggs to be cut by half, many individual consumers would have to cut their own consumption by much more than half.

很讽刺，一看到B就排除了。estimated 和accurate一眼就pass 了。看来看去没答案。现在对B也不理解。

B ==) in a given year, 5,000 peple can be saved by changing their diet, provided that these people would have died without chaning thier diet. Even if they died for other reasons (say car accident), you still can say that they are saved by chaning their diet.

this is a clarification of Leona's own view. Meanwhile, it points out that Thomas's caculation is "too simple, too naive". that is: some guys would have died of eating too many eggs. You can still say their lives are saved if they eat less eggs and therefore do not die of over-egg-eating. However, they still could die for other reasons. So you cannot simply say, in a term of 10 years, those guys who survive will increase the number of population.

""I hope I've given you a right explanation, hehe""

Get it!Thank you!

3Q